$ZBT(ZBTUSDT) has recently sparked a lot of discussion. Instead of worrying about whether to go long or short, it's better to understand the underlying game rules.

Let's start with the current market situation. From a technical perspective, the growth of OI(Open Interest) is not yet strong enough, the Fear and Greed Index hasn't shown a clear imbalance, and liquidation volumes haven't doubled exponentially. What do these indicators combined tell us? They indicate that the big players are still accumulating, and it's not yet time to act.

Why do we make this judgment? It's simple logic—market manipulation aims to profit. But if they cut now, the number of retail investors they can harvest is small, and profits are low. To really harvest, they need to attract more people and push OI higher. This takes time and requires repeatedly shaking out traders to test their patience, encouraging more people to enter.

This brings us to the most interesting part: is it bullish or bearish now? Honestly, both longs and shorts are being manipulated. Many people tend to overlook a common fact—the final outcome of altcoins is often predetermined, but the process to reach that outcome is random. If you look bullish, you'll get crushed; if you look bearish, you'll get pumped. Is it effective to judge the direction? Not very much. A more practical approach is to switch to the big players' perspective, observe the order book, and think about when and how they would cut to maximize profits if they had large funds.

In short, everyone has the same goal—making money. When to cut orders and how to do it—our retail logic and theirs are not much different; both are seeking the optimal timing to act. When that moment arrives, both longs and shorts will be taught a lesson equally.