Looking at those friends in $RIVER Square who are fully shorting, I really find it hard to understand. If you can't read the technical charts, why go all-in on a short? How risky is that move?

Think about it: when 70% of your position is short, how do the market makers play it? They manipulate the price to drain your confidence, tease the K-line back and forth, and ultimately you either get liquidated or cut your losses. Instead of going down this black hole, why not hedge your risks with both long and short positions?

From the market manipulation perspective, the capital providers are not in a rush. They profit from transaction fees, consume time, and wait for the opponent’s emotional breakdown. That’s why no matter how much advice you get, it’s useless—your mindset already determines the outcome.

My observation: this round of the market will bottom out around the 20 price level, then consolidate for at least a week before a new direction emerges. I’m putting this judgment out here. The key to survival is the position structure, not the direction itself.