Looking at the data comparison from the last two cycles, I found an interesting pattern.

The decline period of the previous bull market was about 72 days, and the rebound also took 72 days, with the time span being exactly the same. The rebound was confined between 0.618 and 0.66 of the decline range, and the trend almost perfectly matched.

What about this cycle? It took about 46 days from the high point to the low point, and rounding up, we get 48 days. According to the same cycle logic, the first wave of rebound should also be around 48 days. Projecting forward, the timing falls around January 8, 2026.

In terms of price range, applying the previous retracement ratios of 0.66 to 0.618, this rebound is likely to be around 98,000. Coincidentally, the current prediction probability on Polymarket for the 95,000 level is 71%, indicating a market consensus on this expectation.

Of course, cycle patterns are not absolute, but such historical comparisons still have reference value. The rest depends on how BTC performs.