2026-01-04 08:21:32

January 4 data shows that Ethereum price is around $3,140, hovering along the upper boundary of the $3,075-$3,150 range. In the short term, the market tends to consolidate with fluctuations, while the medium-term outlook remains bullish. The current strategy is cautious—avoiding chasing highs aggressively or arbitrarily shorting, and waiting for clear breakout or pullback signals before taking action.

**Technical Analysis**

The 4-hour and daily charts have already shown a low point rebound with effective support, indicating that the bottom structure is being solidified. However, the 1-hour and 15-minute charts are still in consolidation phases, with relatively mild volatility, which suggests accumulation.

**Fund Flow Signals**

Staking queue has exceeded 1 million tokens, and selling pressure is gradually being absorbed. Institutional funds continue to flow in, providing a solid support foundation for the medium term.

**Key Levels Clearly Marked**

Looking downward, strong support is at 3075-3080, followed by core support at 3020-3040. Looking upward, strong resistance is at 3145-3150; a breakout above could target 3180-3220.

**Two Bullish Strategies**

For conservative long positions, wait for a pullback confirmation with volume at 3080-3090 before entering, with a stop loss at 3050, and targets at 3150, 3180, and 3220 respectively.

A more aggressive approach is to enter after 3150 is stabilized and a pullback confirmation occurs, with a stop loss at 3120, aiming higher.

**Conditions for Short-Term Shorts**

Consider shorting only if resistance at 3145-3150 is met with volume decline and a pullback. Set stop loss at 3170, with targets at 3100 and then 3080. Emphasize that this is a short-term trade, not a trend short.

**Risk Management Must Be Clear**

Keep position size within 30%, with a single stop loss not exceeding 2% of the principal. Never hold large positions through unmanageable risk. Prioritize long positions at support levels, and only short at resistance levels for quick entries and exits. Also, monitor Bitcoin’s correlation, ETF fund movements, Federal Reserve policies, and macro factors to guard against unexpected black swan events.

ETH0,91%

BTC-1,17%

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MondayYoloFridayCry

· 20h ago

Institutions are entering, so let's not be too lenient. It's not too late to get on board once the 3080 confirms volume.

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YieldHunter

· 01-06 01:40

actually the staking queue over 1m eth tells you everything you need to know about where institutions are positioning rn

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CryptoPunster

· 01-05 07:25

Smiling while cutting losses at 3080, this is my New Year gift for 2024. It's "steady bullish," but I feel like the frequency of this phrase appearing is as high as my losing trades. While staking 1 million coins, my account balance is falling along with the trend. Is this called mutual achievement? Breaking through 3150, can it reach 3220? I don't believe you, I still hold a position from the last time I trusted this, and I'm still trapped. Institutional inflow, huh? Then I'll just hold my position with confidence, after all, I'm also an institutional-level leek. Those who say "building momentum" are actually just gathering strength to cut retail traders like me. Position at 30%? I'll go all in directly, my blood pressure is already three times higher anyway. This analysis made me realize that my wallet is also "solidifying the bottom structure."

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GateUser-a5fa8bd0

· 01-04 08:50

It's another period of consolidation and buildup. This move seems quite steady, but it's a bit annoying. Wait, did you stake 1 million tokens? Is this institution really entering the market or just manipulating the price? Once the 3150 level is broken, push towards 3220, but I bet this round will be dragged out until the Spring Festival before moving.

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VibesOverCharts

· 01-04 08:50

Another round of this volatile market, really getting tired of it. When will there be a real breakout? Staking 1 million coins—this data looks so familiar, are institutions accumulating? Why is 3150 so stubborn? It feels like a breakdown might have to wait a bit longer. I agree with the conservative long-term approach, but this wave really lacks excitement. Wait for a pullback to 3080 for confirmation before entering. Risk management comes first, or you'll get caught again.

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DataOnlooker

· 01-04 08:49

Wait, institutional funds continue to flow in but are still accumulating? Feels like this wave will either push directly to 3220 or hit a big pit. Is this analysis reliable? Why does the risk warning seem more detailed than the trading strategy? It's nice to call it cautious, but in reality, it feels like waiting to die... Over 1 million coins are queued for staking. When was this data released? Is it outdated? I really hesitated at the 3150 level for a long time, always feeling like there's something wrong with it. By the way, the suggestion of a 2% stop loss is really harsh for small retail investors like me. It looks like waiting for BTC to give a signal, but I don't have much of my own opinion. Are institutions accumulating or distributing? Who the heck can see clearly? The bottom is being solidified, which sounds good, but is it really reliable to be bullish in the medium term? Feels too optimistic. If this wave can't break 3150, then just dropping back to 3020 would be pointless.

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FOMOSapien

· 01-04 08:48

Wait a minute, can't 3150 really break through? Feels like it's getting stuck here. The conservative traders seem unable to make money, while the aggressive ones are actually making gains. Institutions are accumulating, and retail investors are still debating where to cut losses, it's hilarious. Staking 1 million coins is useless; the key is whether BTC really wants to rally. A 30% position is too conservative, but on the other hand, it's necessary to follow the trend. When will this consolidation end? I'm getting sleepy waiting. If 3080 can't hold, then it's really a problem. We'll see then.

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-04 08:41

You have to hold the line at 3080, or it won't be meaningful anymore.

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ForkThisDAO

· 01-04 08:26

1 million tokens are queued for staking, this wave of institutional funds has really come in Profits still depend on signals; otherwise, it's easy to be violently harvested If you can't hold steady at the 3150 level, it's better to wait patiently for the 3080 to get on board Both cautious and aggressive, honestly, it's just afraid of missing out and getting cut, really tough A 30% position with a 2% stop loss—that's the right way to make money while staying alive

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OnchainUndercover

· 01-04 08:25

又开始摇晃了，这3150真的这么硬吗机构在买我们在等，感觉有点绝望诶 100万枚质押排队，抛压消化完了吗实际等3080把，稳健才是王道 3220真的能到吗，别忽悠我短线空头我是不敢碰的，伤不起仓位三成内我是真的遵守，上次没守住亏大了 BTC要是跌了这一切都白搭

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