2026-01-04 09:25:12

This wave of Bitcoin market movements I see very clearly—94,000 dollars is not the end point, but rather a big trap.

Let me break down why I say this:

**Why is 94K a trap for attracting longs?**

First of all, this price level is very dangerous. The round number combined with previous high points will definitely be collectively hyped by the media and influencers, and retail investors will see the rally and immediately get FOMO. On the surface, it looks like a signal of a return to a bull market, but in reality, it’s just to get you on board.

**The volume-price relationship exposes the problem**

The most critical issue is here—the volume cannot keep up during the rally. In other words, this isn’t a genuine trend initiation; it’s just liquidity being artificially pushed. A rise without supporting trading volume looks vigorous but can collapse at any moment.

**The true bottom is around 45,000**

From the dense trading zone of the previous cycle, 45,000 dollars is the complete retracement level that aligns with the structure. That’s the real target the market wants to reach. If it truly breaks below this level, it means a thorough deleveraging and sentiment clearing wave.

To put it simply, 94,000 is a bait, and 45,000 is the market’s real goal. Those in the know should now be considering where to cut in for a short position.

BTC0,61%

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TokenRationEater

· 01-07 08:59

The 94K level is indeed a bit shaky; the biggest flaw is the lack of trading volume.

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SmartContractWorker

· 01-05 04:16

94K this wave is indeed a bit risky, with insufficient volume, feeling like it's the last wave of retail investors being drawn in.

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CryptoNomics

· 01-04 09:55

actually, if you run a basic correlation matrix on on-chain volume metrics against price action, your whole "liquidity pump" thesis falls apart statistically. the standard deviation alone suggests you're fitting the narrative to the data, not the other way around.

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AirdropNinja

· 01-04 09:42

Is this another trap to lure more buyers? I think, well, this time the volume really looks a bit fake. --- 45k is the real bottom, 94k is just a routine to cut leeks in this wave. --- Those who know the game are waiting for a breakdown; now jumping in is truly taking the fall guy. --- Price and volume don't match; no matter how fierce the rise, I don't believe it. --- Lure more buyers is just that—lure more. When the media is bullish, it's time to run. --- No volume during the rally? That means funds are pushing hard; a sudden drop will still hurt. --- 45,000 is the key level; we'll see the real test then. --- Honestly, this wave feels a bit fake. I'm holding a cash position and waiting.

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GasGuzzler