Looking at the recent market trends, it's quite interesting. When BTC is oscillating at the bottom, you'll notice a very strange phenomenon—those altcoins are no longer making new lows. Many people think this means the bulls are fierce, but that's not the case. Honestly, it’s just that everyone who wanted to sell has already sold. The two waves of brutal cleansing in October and November not only shook out retail investors but also allowed the big players to lay out their bottom positions. Now, all that’s missing is a trigger; a spark is enough to ignite the entire grassland.
So why did PEPE lead the charge? This is definitely not random. First, this coin has gone through multiple 50% cuts, so the floating supply is very limited; second, its market cap is lightweight, and it doesn’t take much money to trigger a significant rise; plus, MEME coins are fundamentally just a pure emotion game—once the sentiment shifts, they become the best outlet for emotion.
Funds are now starting to rotate, and the transmission path of the entire MEME sector is becoming clearer. DOGE, as an established leader, is seeing large investors continuously increasing their positions, derivatives trading is soaring, and with a solid community base and a compelling story, it naturally becomes the main safe haven for capital. Once DOGE, with its large market cap, is saturated, liquidity will inevitably spill over into smaller, more wild targets. Look at the quietly rising "little dog" MEME coins—once ignited, their gains can often surpass expectations.
However, there are also undercurrents in the macro environment. The core logic of the current market is still centered around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts. Recent non-farm payroll and unemployment data, if they show any unexpected fluctuations, could instantly change the direction of risk assets. If rate cuts are delayed or economic data overheats, this rebound, driven by liquidity expectations, could collapse right before or after the January FOMC meeting.
Therefore, trading must be layered. In the short term, you can follow the MEME rotation rhythm to participate, but with light positions and quick entries and exits—only targeting those with thorough shakeouts. Treat mid-January as a key window, gradually building hedging positions on rallies, leaving room for a possible sentiment reversal. The essence of MEME’s carnival is emotional release, but the party will eventually end. The question now is: are you planning to ride the wave or find an exit in advance?
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UncleLiquidation
· 01-08 01:20
To be honest, this wave of MEME rotation does have some substance, but I still think too many people will get trapped and stuck here.
The idea that floating chips are scarce sounds like good news, but in reality, it just makes it easier for a dump to happen. Don't be fooled by small gains.
The January meeting window really needs to be taken seriously; it seems most people haven't paid much attention to macro factors.
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LiquidityWizard
· 01-07 08:27
actually the liquidity math here doesn't fully hold up... sure floated tokens are scarce but have they accounted for the correlation coefficient between meme sentiment decay and fed funds rate expectations? statistically significant? debatable. DOGE as "safe harbor" lol, theoretically speaking that's just concentration risk repackaged as narrative, but ok.
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AltcoinMarathoner
· 01-05 01:51
yo this accumulation phase is basically mile 18 of a ultra—everyone's huffing and puffing but fundamentals haven't crossed the finish line yet. just stacking quietly tbh
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tx_pending_forever
· 01-05 01:44
Damn, this MEME rotation is so clear, I'm just worried about being slapped back by the Federal Reserve data
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DefiOldTrickster
· 01-05 01:44
Ha, this rhythm is exactly the same as the套路 in 2017. Retail investors are still studying technical analysis, while big players have already laid out mines at the bottom.
Small positions quickly out, this approach is correct, but can you really hold on when PEPE surges 200%? I bet five bucks you’ll get wiped out.
Before mid-January, open hedging positions—does anyone actually do that? I think most are betting on a continuous rate cut.
The essence of this MEME rotation is famine arbitrage during liquidity shortages; as soon as the sentiment shifts, it turns into a bubble.
When non-farm payroll data exceeds expectations, you gotta bail out—this is the key to survival, bro.
Targets that undergo thorough shakeouts do make money, but the problem is, can you tell if it’s a shakeout or distribution? I can’t tell either way.
Instead of researching when DOGE will be fully absorbed, it’s better to watch the liquidation prices—that’s real gold and silver.
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WagmiWarrior
· 01-05 01:41
It's been obvious for a while. After slaughtering retail investors, the big players will definitely pump the market. PEPE is indeed the best trigger this time.
Looking at the recent market trends, it's quite interesting. When BTC is oscillating at the bottom, you'll notice a very strange phenomenon—those altcoins are no longer making new lows. Many people think this means the bulls are fierce, but that's not the case. Honestly, it’s just that everyone who wanted to sell has already sold. The two waves of brutal cleansing in October and November not only shook out retail investors but also allowed the big players to lay out their bottom positions. Now, all that’s missing is a trigger; a spark is enough to ignite the entire grassland.
So why did PEPE lead the charge? This is definitely not random. First, this coin has gone through multiple 50% cuts, so the floating supply is very limited; second, its market cap is lightweight, and it doesn’t take much money to trigger a significant rise; plus, MEME coins are fundamentally just a pure emotion game—once the sentiment shifts, they become the best outlet for emotion.
Funds are now starting to rotate, and the transmission path of the entire MEME sector is becoming clearer. DOGE, as an established leader, is seeing large investors continuously increasing their positions, derivatives trading is soaring, and with a solid community base and a compelling story, it naturally becomes the main safe haven for capital. Once DOGE, with its large market cap, is saturated, liquidity will inevitably spill over into smaller, more wild targets. Look at the quietly rising "little dog" MEME coins—once ignited, their gains can often surpass expectations.
However, there are also undercurrents in the macro environment. The core logic of the current market is still centered around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts. Recent non-farm payroll and unemployment data, if they show any unexpected fluctuations, could instantly change the direction of risk assets. If rate cuts are delayed or economic data overheats, this rebound, driven by liquidity expectations, could collapse right before or after the January FOMC meeting.
Therefore, trading must be layered. In the short term, you can follow the MEME rotation rhythm to participate, but with light positions and quick entries and exits—only targeting those with thorough shakeouts. Treat mid-January as a key window, gradually building hedging positions on rallies, leaving room for a possible sentiment reversal. The essence of MEME’s carnival is emotional release, but the party will eventually end. The question now is: are you planning to ride the wave or find an exit in advance?