#2026年比特币行情展望 This week, the Federal Reserve is very active, so keep an eye on several key time points.

Early Monday at 1:30 AM, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (2026 FOMC voter) will speak at the American Economic Association meeting. This guy is usually quite hawkish, and his remarks can easily stir the market.

On Tuesday at 9:00 PM, Richmond Fed President Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) will also deliver a speech. The clash of their viewpoints often reflects internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve on future policy.

Key data points are concentrated from Wednesday to Friday. On Wednesday at 9:15 PM, the December ADP employment report will be released. The previous value was -32,000, with a forecast of +45,000—this shift to positive is crucial, as it can give an early indication of the non-farm payrolls direction. On Thursday at 9:30 PM, initial jobless claims will be announced, with a previous value of 199,000 and an expected 216,000—the number is in the rising range.

Friday is the highlight. At 9:30 PM, the December unemployment rate (previously 4.6%, expected 4.5%) and December non-farm payrolls (previously -105,000, expected +55,000) will be released simultaneously. Moving from negative to positive will have a significant impact on risk assets. Additionally, Kashkari will participate in an online meeting at 11:00 PM, and at 2:35 AM on Saturday, Barkin will continue to speak on the economic outlook. In just a few hours, the Fed's messages will be substantial.

$ETH and other risk assets will be quite sensitive this week. The wording of Fed officials and employment data releases could trigger volatility. It is recommended to pay close attention to the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, as it will be the key to setting the tone for this week's market direction.