2026-01-05 20:23:04

Recently, many people have been pondering the upcoming market trend, so I’d like to share a few thoughts.

Last year's performance was indeed average, and traditional cycle patterns are no longer as accurate. Many industry insiders generally believe that as Bitcoin gradually becomes part of mainstream assets, subsequent rises and falls may increasingly follow the market trend. Recently, institutions have been focusing on the outlook for 2026, and there is quite a consensus on this.

My personal judgment is that we are still in the rebound phase. The true turning point will require some key events to materialize—such as breaking through the $100,000 mark or policy changes resulting from leadership changes at the Federal Reserve. Once these decisive factors appear, it will be clearer whether the market is truly shifting or just continuing to fluctuate.

The two popular tokens, SOL and BNB, are also expected to follow the overall trend in their subsequent performance.

BTC3,2%

SOL1,72%

BNB2,77%

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AirdropHunterKing

· 01-08 15:17

Hmm... waiting for the 100,000 break? I think, rather than waiting for that day, it's better to first pay attention to whether new airdrops land, because that's real gold and silver.

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ruggedNotShrugged

· 01-08 08:06

The hurdle of 100,000 dollars is really no joke, just waiting to see what happens.

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GasFeeAssassin

· 01-08 02:41

$100,000 is indeed a tough hurdle. Let's see when we can break through it. --- 2026? That's still far away. Let's survive this year first, haha. --- The real uncertainty is whether the Federal Reserve will change personnel; everything else is irrelevant. --- SOL and BNB are just following the trend; they've never had independence. --- This judgment about the rebound phase is a bit conservative; it still feels like we're testing the waters. --- The cycle pattern has failed repeatedly; it's getting old to hear that every time. --- Institutions are optimistic about 2026, but ordinary people will need to eat by 2025. --- Waiting for the moment when $100,000 is broken through to truly confirm the direction. --- Feeling less wild as mainstream assets take over; BTC is becoming more and more dull.

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TokenRationEater

· 01-06 15:42

$100,000 really so crucial? Feels a bit mythologized. --- 2026? I feel like the reversal is coming next year. --- SOL and BNB following the market trend have been obvious for a while, nothing new. --- We've been talking about a rebound for so long, when will there be a real turning point? --- Will the change in Federal Reserve leadership really alter the situation? It's uncertain. --- Last year was average, this year isn't great either. When will there be a real big market move? --- Institutions optimistic about 2026 are probably accumulating spot holdings, honestly. --- I agree that the cycle pattern has failed, but it's hard to say how it will develop afterward. --- $100,000 is just a psychological barrier; whether it's broken or not, the difference feels minimal.

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BrokenDAO

· 01-05 20:53

Institutions are collectively optimistic about 2026. I've heard this rhetoric too many times. Every cycle, there's a consensus, but what happens? Once the game equilibrium is broken, everything collapses.

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AirdropFreedom

· 01-05 20:52

Wait, you say $100,000 is a hurdle? I think it's just a psychological barrier. The real factor that determines the market trend is the attitude of those institutional players. If they eat the meat, we need to have some soup to drink. The key still depends on what the Federal Reserve does; that's the real issue. Are SOL and BNB following the trend? To put it nicely, they just follow Bitcoin's movements, with no independence at all. If institutions are optimistic about 2026, isn't now the best time to get in? Or should we continue to wait and see? The failure of cycle规律 (cyclical规律) is indeed quite upsetting; the old methods might need to be changed. A rebound is just a rebound; the real worry is if it continues to fall after the rebound, that's the most headache-inducing part.

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DaoTherapy

· 01-05 20:42

Waiting for $100,000? I think it's uncertain. It's hard to say whether the Fed folks will change or not.

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pumpamentalist

· 01-05 20:31

Is the 100,000-dollar threshold really that critical? It feels like I hear this kind of statement every time. It seems like institutions saying they're optimistic about 2026 is just like talking nonsense—who wouldn't be optimistic? Rebound, rebound, it's been a year of rebounds, and honestly, it's a bit tiring. SOL and BNB are indeed good at following trends, but sometimes following trends can also make quick money. Waiting for the Federal Reserve to change people? Bro, how long do we have to wait? Last year, it was mostly politeness. I’d rather just say it’s a total flop.

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Rugman_Walking

· 01-05 20:31

The $100,000 mark still feels like a distant goal right now. Wait, institutions are optimistic about 2026? So do we have to keep taking hits this year? I'm still holding onto SOL. If you're just following the big trend, you might as well buy index funds. A rebound or not, who the hell knows. Anyway, I'm already trapped in losses. Changing the Fed chair won't change anything. Bitcoin has long since moved beyond the US's jurisdiction.

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