2026-01-05 22:20:52

To those traders who want to survive with systematic thinking and are tired of the market "gambling"—

I am a typical "fool": I never chase hot trends, I don't dare to go all-in with full positions, and I even feel uneasy when I see high leverage contracts. But it is precisely this kind of personality that has turned an initial capital of 50,000 into over 50 million in eight years, with monthly returns stable at around 70%. The apprentices I mentor using this method doubled their capital in three months. Today, in a good mood, I’m breaking down and sharing this core logic—no metaphysics, just practical discipline.

**Divide your funds into five parts; you’ve already won against most people at the start**

My core strategy is simple, called "Five Portions of Grain for a Long Battle": divide your total funds into five equal parts, and only use one part at a time. For example, with a 100,000 yuan principal, each part is 20,000 yuan, with a single trade stop-loss set at 10%. This way, even if you hit a loss, you only lose 2% of your total capital; even if you lose five times in a row, it’s only a 10% loss—yet once you catch the trend, profits can fill all the gaps in minutes.

The logic behind this is quite straightforward: the market is full of chaos and randomness, but through this position sizing, you entrust the win or loss to the system rather than luck. The real reason most people get wiped out is that they put all their bullets in at once; a single trade’s rise or fall directly hijacks their emotions, often leading to cutting losses down to their ankles.

**Following the trend does not mean chasing the top, but "waiting for the fish to bite itself"**

I never try to bottom fish, nor do I guess where the top is. True trend following is waiting for the trend to form its shape, then riding along and drinking the soup. For example, in a downtrend, rebounds are often bait for bulls; in an uptrend, each pullback becomes an excellent low-entry opportunity.

I judge the trend based on two signals:

First, moving average alignment—short-term trend by the 3-day MA, medium-term direction by the 30-day MA, and long-term health by the 120-day MA. Second, volume and price coordination—details of this method are thoroughly explained in other content I’ve shared on Gate Square.

This approach may sound unsexy, but the data from Bitcoin’s market over the years proves everything: stability beats excitement, and time beats talent.

BTC1,89%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

Rugman_Walking

· 01-08 18:29

Five positions is indeed a ruthless move, but it really tests human nature. --- It sounds like a common personal finance strategy, nothing fancy, but this is the real way to survive long-term. --- Seventy percent per month... Is this number based on backtest data or real money? Tell me more. --- What happened to those who went all-in on margin trading? Probably not many are still in the market. --- The old-fashioned moving average arrangement is outdated, but it can indeed be effective when combined with five-part gold management. --- The problem is most people simply can't wait for the "fish to swim up on its own," they get itchy. --- A disciple doubling in three months? That’s either initial dividends or truly sustainable, which is very important. --- Turning 50 million from 5 million... the probability must be very high for that to happen. Not saying I believe it, but I can't dismiss it. --- Bottom fishing is really a gambler’s game, I agree with that. --- It looks boring, but executing it can be deadly, right?

View OriginalReply0

TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 01-08 18:17

Five positions sound safe, but the real question is how many can withstand the temptation of fivefold leverage. --- Seventy percent a month? I don't believe it unless you're just surviving in a bear market. --- It sounds good, but it's just being cowardly. However, this cowardice actually makes money. --- Three moving averages are enough? I think it's more about mindset. --- Feels like selling courses, but the logic really isn't wrong. --- Foolish strategy, I think it's more about discipline crushing talent. --- Holding five portions of grain is actually a battle against inner demons; it's not that easy. --- I've known this theory for a long time, but the key is that every rebound makes you want to go all-in. --- Seventy percent stable per month? The crypto time series is a mess; I don't believe these numbers. --- True winners never say they've won; this copy feels too heavy-handed. --- Writing risk control so fancy essentially boils down to one thing: don't be greedy. --- The combination of moving average arrangement and volume-price is the most old-school technical analysis—repackaging and selling again? --- Losing only 10% after five consecutive mistakes? The problem is, can your mindset hold up until the third mistake? --- Following the trend and not chasing the rally sounds like finding reasons for your empty positions.

View OriginalReply0

TooScaredToSell

· 01-08 11:12

Five positions with that set are indeed solid, but you need to break the gambler's mentality when executing. That's right, I used to be the type to go all-in with full positions, but I later realized that system > luck. I agree with not chasing hot topics, but unfortunately, nine out of ten retail investors around me are still chasing gains and selling on dips. Monthly 70% returns? That data sounds a bit suspicious, but the methodology is indeed clearly explained. I'm already tired of using moving averages; the key is discipline in execution. Most people fail at this point. Those who truly make money are the ones who are cursed the most by the market—clear-headed but uninteresting. Five portions of supplies for a long-term battle; naming it is quite illustrative. A 10% stop-loss sounds small, but sticking to it is the hard part. Most people simply can't do it.

View OriginalReply0

HalfBuddhaMoney

· 01-05 22:50

Five portions of position sound safe, but when the market actually hits, it's still easy to get itchy. --- It's easy to talk about, but the key is execution. Most people simply can't stick to it. --- Seventy percent monthly profit? That data is a bit suspicious; a more conservative approach is more practical. --- I agree that not chasing hot topics is good, but I feel most people simply can't do it. --- The logic of five portions of supplies is clear, but the problem is how to make up for the four portions that are lost. --- I've heard this set of ideas countless times, but those who really make money are still the guys willing to go all-in. --- Moving averages and volume-price coordination—aren't these basic operations? Why emphasize them so mysteriously? --- Honestly, it's still a mindset issue. You can make money without a system, and you can lose with a system. --- I want to ask, what is the maximum drawdown in these eight years? That's the real standard for testing a system. --- The phrase "fool" is used quite well; indeed, many smart people have blown up their accounts. --- Having five strategies is good, but I'm afraid that in a straight-down market, none of them can save you.

View OriginalReply0

GhostInTheChain

· 01-05 22:50

Five positions in this set, I've been using them for a long time, and the key is that they are really stress-resistant. --- Sounds good, but a 70% monthly return—this data seems a bit suspicious. --- Damn, finally someone said it—avoiding chasing highs has saved me many times. --- Moving averages combined with volume and price—simple and straightforward. I like this approach. --- Having five losses in a row and only losing 10%—this risk control logic is indeed excellent. --- The problem is that knowing and doing are worlds apart. Most people still can't control their greed. --- Is this called systemic thinking? I think it's just discipline. --- The number from 50,000 to 50 million is a bit overstated... --- "Waiting for the fish to bite itself"—that's a good metaphor, saving a lot of unnecessary trapped trades. --- The key is that you need to go through a few margin calls to understand; talking about it on paper is useless.

View OriginalReply0

FUD_Vaccinated

· 01-05 22:42

A 5% position system indeed looks dull, but it can truly withstand backtesting. A 70% monthly return sounds outrageous, but there's no way to argue with the data. This guy has just turned gambling into a probability game; that's the core difference. I'm already tired of the all-in, all-in approach; too many casualties. Moving averages + volume and price are actually the simplest way to operate, no fancy tricks needed. Only losing 10% after five mistakes—that kind of mindset building is worth a $10,000 tuition. I just want to know how he managed to survive the bear market over these eight years. The Bitcoin market has long ceased to be a gambler's paradise; it's time to clear out. Besides position management, you still have to look at human nature; most people simply can't execute it. The mindset of bottom-fishing is the real tumor; forgetting everything after being caught twice. This guy's saying "wait for the fish to bite" sounds simple but actually means giving up on predictions. It's interesting; it's much more honest than those who promote going all-in in one shot.

View OriginalReply0

PonziWhisperer

· 01-05 22:39

Five positions sound simple, but few people can really stick to it. --- To put it plainly, it's about not gambling. It sounds easy but is hard to do. --- Seventy percent monthly profit? That number deserves a question mark. --- I've tried the moving average stacking method before, but the key is still mindset. --- Wow, another story of "I'm very stupid, so I make big money." --- The logic of five portions of food is sound, but most people can't hold on until the trend appears. --- I've indeed quit trying to catch the bottom or top; now just waiting for the fish to bite. --- Not chasing hot topics and not going all-in may sound like nonsense, but it's truly the only way to survive. --- The combination of volume and price is indeed a major area of mysticism; it looks different every time. --- Each of the five stop-losses at 10% sounds stable, but try it when a black swan appears. --- The hardest part of this system isn't the method itself, but enduring the long sideways market.

View OriginalReply0

shadowy_supercoder

· 01-05 22:29

Five positions, that set is really perfect, but it really tests human nature. Eight years, from 50,000 to 50 million... these numbers are also ridiculously high. A monthly return of seventy percent? I feel like I keep hearing stories like that. The analogy of waiting for fish to bite is pretty good, but most people simply can't wait. Those who truly make money keep a low profile and get rich quietly, while the ones shouting their heads off are the ones constantly cutting leeks. Dividing into five parts indeed reduces psychological burden, but execution is the biggest hurdle. This idea has no flaws; it all depends on who can truly stick to discipline. The failure rate of going all-in and hitting liquidation, I've seen too many cases around me... Following the trend sounds simple, but the hard part is judging whether the trend is real or fake.

View OriginalReply0