2026-01-05 22:21:04

The global economic landscape in 2025 is undergoing unprecedented upheaval. Non-discriminatory tariff policies, the supporting role of the AI industry, and policy games among major economies—these factors are intertwined, redefining international trade rules and directly influencing asset price trends and market risk appetite.

**The Trade War Enters a New Phase**

Last year's trade war mainly targeted China, but this year it's different. The strategy has shifted from precise strikes to comprehensive measures, with "reciprocal tariffs" becoming the main approach. On the surface, it appears aimed at reducing trade deficits, increasing government revenue, and bringing manufacturing back, but what about the actual effects? The first two goals have achieved little; essentially, these measures serve political agendas and industrial strategies.

The US's layout is clearly divided into three lines: the greatest adjustments within the North American Free Trade Area, directly targeting Canada and Mexico; strategic protection of industries like steel, aluminum, and automobiles; and finally, broad tariff measures covering the globe, making trade conflicts no longer confined to a specific region.

**Responses Vary Greatly Among Countries**

In the face of this wave of shocks, different economies respond in vastly different ways. China has adopted a strategy combining tough and soft measures—initially retaliating strongly, then reaching phased agreements through negotiations, such as suspending an additional 24% tariff and reducing fentanyl-related tariffs to 10%. This flexible game-playing posture seeks opportunities within balance.

Major economies like the EU, Japan, and India are also adjusting their response plans, leading to a significant increase in market uncertainty. For exchange platform users, these geopolitical and trade environment changes directly translate into volatility opportunities for risk assets.

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GweiWatcher

· 01-08 21:45

Is there still room for negotiation after such a tariff war? Wait, who is the real winner in this market... The combination of hard and soft tactics is working well, but it seems the 24% pause agreement won't last long. Is there a chance for volatility? emm I only see risks. The trade war escalation belongs to, silent profits from transactions. All countries are adjusting, the market is so chaotic, can we really bottom fish? This time, it’s truly a full-scale attack, previous targeted strikes were just child's play. Three lines advancing simultaneously, does the US want to bring everyone in? North America Free Trade Zone is targeted the hardest... how will Mexico and Canada respond? Fentanyl tariffs reduced from 24% to 10%, is that a substantial concession? Still, as I said, uncertainty = opportunity, but it could also = bankruptcy. Europe, Japan, India are all moving, it feels like a domino chain about to fall. Political agendas and industrial strategies, in plain terms, are economic wars. If you master this wave of volatility, you could earn three months' worth of profits in a month. Negotiations have been reached but feel unstable... the kind that can turn sour at any moment.

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LiquidationSurvivor

· 01-07 01:51

The trade war has forcefully turned the global economy into a casino; the bigger your chips, the more comfortably you can live. China's hand is still decent, at least they know when to stop while ahead, much better than the EU and Japan who are passively taking hits. This wave of volatility is a bloodbath for those who are long. Volatility opportunities? Ha, it all depends on who can survive and come out of this chaos. What the US is really doing is shifting domestic contradictions; don't be fooled by the surface talk. The exchanges are probably going to see another big wave in the next two months, and risk assets are likely to suffer.

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LongTermDreamer

· 01-05 22:50

Ah, it's the same old story about tariffs. I heard this story three years ago. The cycle theory tells me that volatility is an opportunity. People in the crypto world love this kind of uncertainty, as it directly reflects in asset prices. Profits are possible—it's just a matter of whether you're willing to buy the dip.

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TokenSleuth

· 01-05 22:50

Tariffs are really a mess this time, it feels like the whole world is betting on whose hand is stronger The combination of hard and soft power, China still has some skill in playing this game, just see what cards are coming next Volatility is high, the traders' time to celebrate has arrived This game is too complicated, it's really hard to say who will win or lose Political agendas? Basically, it's a game of interests, risk assets are going crazy The US's strategic layout on these three fronts is indeed fierce, North America is under quite some pressure Let's see how Europe and Japan respond; how they handle it will determine the future direction Uncertainty is the most valuable, this is the true essence of trading Tariffs keep coming back and forth, but in the end, it's retail investors like us who get hurt

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bridgeOops

· 01-05 22:48

If tariffs keep being imposed like this, the crypto world will also go crazy; volatility is money. Basically, it's a political game; everyone is riding the hype. China's negotiations this time have some substance; the countermeasures and showing softness are well balanced. Let's wait and see how Europe responds; it should be very interesting. Traders love this kind of uncertainty, holding coins and waiting for the storm.

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MidnightGenesis

· 01-05 22:46

On-chain data shows that bulk commodity contracts deployed abnormal trading volumes late at night, and the timestamp of the tariff policy change perfectly matches... This is no coincidence.

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VibesOverCharts

· 01-05 22:44

Tariffs are really being fully implemented this time, and it seems like there's actually more room for negotiation. Speaking of China's strategy of combining hard and soft tactics, it's really clever—first pressuring, then negotiating. The reduction of fentanyl to 10% is just hilarious. Europe, Japan, and India are all adjusting policies—this is basically a big opportunity for shorting. Market volatility makes it more interesting; I'm holding my coins and watching. Every country is playing little tricks; there's no such thing as a true winner.

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