2026-01-06 00:21:08

Entering early 2026, XRP has experienced a significant rebound, with the price increasing over 18% in a short period. Behind this rally, the influence of institutional investors cannot be underestimated. Data shows that XRP's ETP (Exchange-Traded Product) performed remarkably well — in 2025, capital inflows surged by 500%, reaching a scale of $3.6 billion. In early 2026, last week's net inflow alone was $43.16 million, with total inflows surpassing $1.18 billion. This sustained large-scale capital influx reflects institutional optimism about XRP's medium-term prospects.

On the technical side, XRP's performance is equally impressive. In the past 24 hours, it rebounded over 12%, with the current price stable around $2.3358. The price broke through multiple key resistance levels, and the upper band of the Bollinger Bands was effectively pierced, with a significant increase in trading volume providing strong support for this upward movement. The MACD indicator also shows a strong bullish crossover, with buy signals across multiple timeframes.

Regulatory developments have also contributed to boosting market enthusiasm. The Senate's advancement of the CLARITY Act and the resignation of key SEC officials have sent positive signals to the market. Additionally, Ripple's development team plans to launch major XRPL upgrades in 2026, further fueling investor excitement with expectations of ecological iteration.

However, caution is warranted as there are clear risks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) across multiple timeframes remains in overbought territory, with the shortest cycle RSI6 reaching 95.39, indicating the market is in an extremely overbought state. Historical experience suggests that such extreme indicators often precede a correction.

Market liquidity has also shown subtle changes. The latest flow data indicates a total inflow of 15.6 million USDT, with large investors contributing 11.9 million USDT — a relatively moderate figure, hinting that some funds may be taking profits. More notably, Ripple recently transferred 300 million XRP (worth approximately $652.6 million) to an unknown wallet. Once these coins flow into exchanges, the market could face new supply pressure.

Overall, XRP is currently in a tug-of-war between institutional optimism and technical overbought signals. It might be wise to wait a bit longer before entering, to see if the market can digest these risk signals.

XRP-0,14%

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TokenCreatorOP

· 01-08 23:19

The RSI95 number is outrageous. This surge is too crazy, feels like a dump is coming.

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TokenomicsShaman

· 01-08 07:01

The number RSI95.39 is a bit scary, institutions are accumulating while retail investors need to be cautious about taking the bait. Large investors only inflowed 11.9 million, this is probably the real figure, the rest are fleeing. Ripple transferred 300 million XRP into a black box, this pace doesn't seem right. Wait and see, don't be fooled by institutional data, real risks do exist. A 500% inflow sounds great, but overbought conditions are the real killer. An 18% increase is tempting, but RSI is already at 99, this is basically giving you a ticket. It's easiest to get crushed when trying to make quick money, I choose to observe. Such obvious large fund outflow signals, and you're still chasing? Be smarter. The CLARITY Act is good news, but the technical aspect is extremely dangerous. 300 million coins dumped, how can retail investors play this? Spread your costs? Wake up.

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DAOdreamer

· 01-06 21:18

RSI 95.39, still dare to chase? It makes me nervous just looking at it. Institutions are eating the meat while we're drinking the soup.

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CommunityLurker

· 01-06 00:51

It's true that institutions are flooding in, but that 300 million XRP transfer really can't hold up. I've never seen an RSI of 95 before; let's wait for a correction. The rapid rise actually makes me a bit nervous.

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BearMarketBuyer

· 01-06 00:50

RSI is almost overbought but still dare to chase, I think it's trying to buy the dip and end up losing everything. This rebound smells too much like a trap, Ripple's 300 million XRP transfer really can't hold up. Institutional entry is a good thing, but the speed of exiting is often faster than entering. After losing a few times, you understand. Overbought is overbought, no matter how good the story is, it can't stop a sell-off. Let's wait for the correction. The data looks good, but the key is who is selling. My intuition tells me to cool down. Even friendly Senate talks are not enough; it depends on how many retail investors can absorb the sell-off. Trust me, entering now is just giving big players a chance to scoop up the bags, not worth it. It's either the CLARITY Act or upgrades, these positive news have already been priced in. Inflow data is cooling down, big players have already exited. I think this is a clear signal. Wait, no rush. Good things are always reserved for those with patience.

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zkProofGremlin

· 01-06 00:48

Institutions are pouring money and optimistic, but the RSI is already at 95... If this wave doesn't pull back, I'll do a handstand and eat the screen.

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WhaleStalker

· 01-06 00:44

RSI95 has gone crazy. This wave of rise is too fast. Ripple's 300 million XRP is hanging overhead. I'm still on the sidelines. Institutions are indeed accumulating, but with such a strong overbought signal, do they dare to chase? Need to wait for a correction. Large investors only flowed in 11.9 million, and profit-taking has already been quietly happening. No signs of strong momentum. The Clarity Act is indeed a positive factor, but the technical risks are so high that it's not worth rushing in. If 300 million XRP suddenly dumps, this rebound could be over. I'll keep an eye on my funds first.

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FlyingLeek

· 01-06 00:41

Institutions are buying aggressively, but I see the RSI is almost overbought... If this wave crashes down, I'll have to cut my losses again.

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GateUser-75ee51e7

· 01-06 00:32

XRP's recent surge is indeed fierce, but the RSI95 number is really frightening... It feels like a correction could happen at any time. 300 million XRP dumped all at once, don't ask me how I know. Institutional entry is a good thing, but what's with the feeling that big players are quietly pulling out? Wait to get in again, this position is too high. An 18% increase looks great, but that overbought signal can't be ignored. Everyone is talking about the new upgrade benefits, but no one is paying attention to that big Ripple transfer? Making money is the easiest way to lose it, I remain cautious.

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DataChief

· 01-06 00:26

RSI is already at 95, do you still dare to chase? I think this wave is the institutions harvesting the retail investors. Wait and see if it can pull back, don’t be blinded by the gains. 3 billion XRP transferred to an unknown wallet... this move always feels a bit off. Institutional inflows look strong, but the funding environment has cooled down, this signal is a bit contradictory. Overbought is overbought; no matter how beautiful the technical pattern is, it can't change this fact. The CLARITY Act and SEC officials leaving office are indeed good news, but short-term speculation is the main factor. Breaking through the Bollinger Bands doesn’t mean much; historically, such rebounds can turn around quickly. Slowing inflows + large investors taking profits, it seems the late buyers at high levels will be crying. I'm still on the sidelines, waiting for the correction to confirm before taking action.

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