SOL is currently stuck in a very interesting position. The price is oscillating between $116 and $129, forming a converging triangle pattern that suggests a clear direction is imminent.
Let's talk about the support level. The $116 mark is particularly critical; it has been tested three times without breaking, indicating strong buying interest at this level. On the upside, $129 is a hurdle that can't be ignored. Not only is there resistance from the upper Bollinger Band, but the Fibonacci 0.236 line is also at this level. The heatmap of costs shows that there is still significant selling pressure stacked here.
Technical signals are somewhat mixed. The moving average system appears weak—MA20 ($127.6) and MA50 ($139.9) are both overhead resistance. The price needs to stay above MA20 to reduce some risk. The 4-hour MACD is hovering near the zero line, and RSI is around 55, far from overbought territory, leaving plenty of room for bulls.
The real bullish case hinges on volume. If a breakout above $129 can be accompanied by daily volume exceeding 150% of the average, then targets of $150 (Fibonacci 0.382) and even $171 become possible. Conversely, if the price falls below the support at $116, then the zone between $112 and $105 should be approached with caution, as bears could accelerate.
For traders, closing above $129 with a steady stance could be a signal to add to long positions in stages, with a stop-loss placed below $122 for safety. But don’t forget risk management—this position’s direction is still uncertain.
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FOMOrektGuy
· 01-09 01:11
129, this hurdle is really hard to get over, feels like it's going to fall
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gas_fee_trauma
· 01-08 21:23
116 can't be stopped again, this constant tug-of-war is really annoying.
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ProtocolRebel
· 01-08 02:13
The $129 mark feels like it will be tested repeatedly.
I've seen many people buy the dip at 116; I won't believe it until it actually breaks.
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GateUser-7b078580
· 01-06 16:36
The data shows that 129 is really stuck tightly. Let's wait and see the trading volume.
On an hourly basis, this rebound is somewhat lacking in convincing power.
If 116 can't be broken, they can still boast; once it falls below... I've observed the pattern, and this is how the historical lows have behaved.
The mechanism where miners consume too much is unreasonable and will eventually collapse, but I still have to keep playing.
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SmartContractDiver
· 01-06 01:48
116 has been stuck for so long without breaking through. I want to see if 129 can break, but I bet the trading volume won't cooperate.
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OvertimeSquid
· 01-06 01:47
This level really needs to be confirmed by trading volume, otherwise it's just a fake breakout trick.
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CodeAuditQueen
· 01-06 01:43
Trading volume breaks through 150% to be trustworthy... Still stuck in the trap, RSI hasn't even exceeded 60, a typical signal of false breakout. The position at 116 looks like a contract with a loophole; it seems safe but actually hides risks. I prefer to wait until a breakout before taking action.
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DaoDeveloper
· 01-06 01:29
the volume thesis here is actually pretty solid... if we see that 150% spike on break of 129, the composability of these support levels creates interesting entry dynamics
Reply0
mev_me_maybe
· 01-06 01:26
Stuck at the 129 resistance level for so long, it feels like either a breakthrough or a pullback—there's no third option.
SOL is currently stuck in a very interesting position. The price is oscillating between $116 and $129, forming a converging triangle pattern that suggests a clear direction is imminent.
Let's talk about the support level. The $116 mark is particularly critical; it has been tested three times without breaking, indicating strong buying interest at this level. On the upside, $129 is a hurdle that can't be ignored. Not only is there resistance from the upper Bollinger Band, but the Fibonacci 0.236 line is also at this level. The heatmap of costs shows that there is still significant selling pressure stacked here.
Technical signals are somewhat mixed. The moving average system appears weak—MA20 ($127.6) and MA50 ($139.9) are both overhead resistance. The price needs to stay above MA20 to reduce some risk. The 4-hour MACD is hovering near the zero line, and RSI is around 55, far from overbought territory, leaving plenty of room for bulls.
The real bullish case hinges on volume. If a breakout above $129 can be accompanied by daily volume exceeding 150% of the average, then targets of $150 (Fibonacci 0.382) and even $171 become possible. Conversely, if the price falls below the support at $116, then the zone between $112 and $105 should be approached with caution, as bears could accelerate.
For traders, closing above $129 with a steady stance could be a signal to add to long positions in stages, with a stop-loss placed below $122 for safety. But don’t forget risk management—this position’s direction is still uncertain.