About some recent views on ETH market trends. From a technical perspective, after a decline over the past month, the market has now entered a sideways consolidation phase, which resembles a bottoming pattern. This could be the beginning of a continued upward trend.



Currently, there is a common concern in the market—many believe that the recent rally led by MEME tokens is a trap signal, and mainstream coins may face a pullback. From a probability standpoint, the likelihood of this scenario occurring is about 70%, representing the main risk to the current price trend.

However, there is an important point worth noting: for those holding positions based on this logic, their risk management usually has contingency plans. Even if a double bottom occurs, it typically remains within a safe range and won't lead to a liquidation. This means that as long as the position is maintained, even if this rally is indeed a trap, considering that the weekly chart's decline could fundamentally be a correction within a bull market rather than a trend reversal, one can withstand the double impact of a trap and a second dip.

It may require going through a period of sideways consolidation psychologically, which can be a test of patience. But from a larger cycle perspective, if the bull market framework remains intact, holding this position steadily could lead to greater profit potential later on.

Of course, an outright upward move for ETH is also possible, which would reduce profit pressure. Conversely, if a bear market were to occur? Based on current technical analysis and market sentiment, that probability is extremely low.

In this field, traders who stick to real trading are truly worth respect. Instead of shouting signals and performing theatrics every day, it's better to use real capital to verify your logic—such sincerity and steady mindset are indeed rare and valuable in this industry.

$ETH
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BtcDailyResearchervip
· 01-08 08:12
70% chance of triggering a buy? I feel like this number is a bit inflated, seems like it's meant for the timid to hear.
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SandwichTradervip
· 01-06 20:46
Just sideways trading, anyway I can't wait any longer, so I'll just hold and be done with it.
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JustHereForAirdropsvip
· 01-06 01:50
The trap this time really makes you feel uncomfortable, but to be honest, only tough people can hold their positions. Still stuck in sideways consolidation, you really need some mental preparation. Traders who operate with real money are definitely much stronger than those who just call out signals every day, this must be acknowledged. As for ETH, I don't know when it will break out this time, let's wait and see.
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FloorSweepervip
· 01-06 01:49
nah the 70% drawdown probability is exactly where retail gets liquidated lol... those "safety plans" usually evaporate first time they see -15% candle tbh
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MergeConflictvip
· 01-06 01:42
Inducing more than 70% probability... Sounds good, but isn't it just gambling? The key is whether you can withstand the psychological pressure.
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SilentObservervip
· 01-06 01:38
A 70% chance of诱多, is this gambling? But the older brother's analysis is indeed clear-headed, much more reliable than those who call signals every day.
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YieldChaservip
· 01-06 01:38
Honestly, a 70% chance of诱多 is a bit scary... but just grit your teeth and hold on, and it'll be fine.
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ContractHuntervip
· 01-06 01:37
Bullish 70% probability? I bet wrong, I just love this feeling of walking on the edge of danger
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EternalMinervip
· 01-06 01:30
Just stay sideways, anyway, I have it in hand, so whatever about trapping more, I've already prepared a plan for liquidation.
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