The CVDD indicator issues a strong buy signal, and DOGE's surge to $0.8 is expected to become a reality.

Entering 2026, Dogecoin (DOGE) shows a clear rebound. The past week has seen an increase of nearly 20%, with the current price around $0.15, once again attracting attention in the crypto market. More importantly, on-chain data is beginning to release bullish signals, with some analyses suggesting DOGE is in an important mid- to long-term buy zone. According to the latest analysis, the CVDD indicator has reached a critical area historically associated with strong buying activity, indicating a potential to break through $0.80 in the coming weeks.

The Buying Logic Behind the CVDD Indicator

What is the CVDD indicator and its historical performance

CVDD (Cumulative Value Dissipation Days) is an on-chain metric that measures the economic weight of tokens and their long-term value to identify deeply undervalued market zones. Joao Wedson, founder of the crypto data analysis platform Alphractal, pointed out that based on this indicator, DOGE’s price has already reached a key area historically associated with strong buying interest.

Historically, whenever DOGE approaches this zone, it often experiences significant rebounds. This suggests that the current signals are not isolated events but are supported by historical patterns. Wedson’s model indicates that if these historical patterns repeat, DOGE could potentially surge past $0.80 in the next few weeks.

Specific Calculation of the Potential Space

Currently, DOGE is around $0.15. To reach the target of $0.80, this implies a potential upside of over 5 times. Considering the current market environment and the overall performance of the Meme coin sector, such elasticity is relatively reasonable within this niche.

Multiple Technical Confirmations Reinforce Bullish Signals

Clear support and effective breakout

From a technical perspective, DOGE has established clear support around $0.12 and successfully broke through $0.14, ending its previous downtrend. This breakout is seen as an important signal of a phase trend reversal. If bullish momentum continues, DOGE’s next resistance levels will be at $0.20, followed by the $0.28 zone.

RSI and Moving Average System Resonance

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also confirms the trend change. RSI has broken through key moving averages and is above the midline, indicating increasing buying activity. On shorter timeframes, DOGE is trading above $0.150 and the 100-hour moving average, with an upward trendline providing ongoing support.

This means both momentum indicators and trend tools are signaling a clear bullish outlook.

The Overall Rebound of the Meme Coin Sector

DOGE’s performance is not isolated. According to the latest market data, the entire Meme coin sector has collectively rebounded at the start of the year. PEPE is up 17%, Bonk up 14%, Dogwifhat over 17%, and Shiba Inu over 8%. Although DOGE’s gains are relatively moderate, its position as the leading Meme coin remains solid, ranking 9th by market cap with a 24-hour trading volume of $207 million.

More importantly, DOGE is supported by deeper fundamentals. Starlink launched 1,800 satellites in 2025, with the total in orbit surpassing 9,000, and user numbers surged 65% to 8 million. If in the future Starlink terminals connect to the Web3 wallet ecosystem, DOGE—Elon Musk’s most popular crypto asset—could become one of the payment mediums within the Starlink ecosystem. Additionally, DOGE has practical applications in online tipping, e-commerce shopping, and charitable donations, providing it with value support beyond its meme coin attributes.

Key Levels and Follow-up Focus

Summary

Whether it’s the on-chain CVDD indicator or technical structures like RSI and Fibonacci retracement, all show that DOGE is at a critical decision point. The convergence of multiple indicators indicates a fairly clear bullish signal, but this does not guarantee a smooth upward path.

The key is whether bullish momentum can be sustained. The gains or losses around $0.14–$0.15 will directly influence the subsequent trend. Against the backdrop of Meme coin capital inflows and the potential release of the Starlink ecosystem, DOGE’s medium- to short-term performance remains worth watching. For traders, clear support levels and gradually rising resistance levels provide a relatively straightforward operational framework. For long-term holders, the current position seems to offer a good entry opportunity, provided they recognize that DOGE is not just a meme coin but also an important part of Elon Musk’s ecosystem.