1. Market Overview Current BTC price is 91,218.8, based on the latest daily candlestick closing data. Over the past 14 days, BTC has been oscillating at high levels, with fluctuation ranges mainly between 91,000 and 94,500, reaching a high of 94,789.1 and a low of 86,806.5. In the past two days, daily K-line shows a continued high-level correction, with trading volume significantly reduced. The latest daily volume is only 191.71, far below previous average levels (such as previous high-volume days with 13,544.6 and 11,774.6). This indicates a cooling of market activity in the short term. Regarding market sentiment, recent analyst opinions vary greatly. Some are optimistic about a bottom rebound, e.g., "#BTC Bitcoin shows bottom divergence signals! Attention! Very likely to continue rising!"; others suggest shorting on rallies, e.g., "BTC short entry: 94,080-94,900, TP: 93,400, 92,430, 91,500, 88,000"; some analysts emphasize that the current price is between key resistance and support zones, with short-term volatility prominent, and support levels to watch are 92,700 and 90,500. Overall, the market is in a high-level consolidation phase, with strong short-term volatility expectations and differing sentiments.



2. Technical Analysis Based on the past 14 days of daily K-line data, BTC's highest point was 94,789.1 (timestamp 1767571200), and the lowest was 86,806.5 (timestamp 1766966400). The current price of 91,218.8 is in a high-level correction zone. Short-term support is concentrated around 91,000, with yesterday's low at 91,072.2 providing support and rebound. From the 48-hour hourly K-line, BTC oscillated near 92,800-93,200 multiple times yesterday but failed to stabilize effectively, then continued to decline, breaking below minor supports at 92,100 and 91,500. The highest rebound on the hourly chart was 92,949.8, and the lowest retracement was 91,004.1. Short-term volatility has narrowed, and trading volume over the past 10 hours remains low (e.g., only 191.71 in the last hour, previously often over 500-700), indicating a market in wait-and-see mode with no increased selling pressure. Support levels on the daily chart at 90,500 and 91,200 show clear bullish and bearish battles; a breakdown could test the 89,000 and 88,000 zones. Resistance levels to watch are 92,100 and 92,700, with strong resistance in the 94,500-94,700 range. Comparing bullish and bearish battles, a clear downward shift has formed in the short term. Regarding MACD and RSI, some analysts note: "On the daily chart, the price faced resistance near 94,500 and pulled back; MACD and RSI have formed golden crosses, but there is potential for correction." The technical structure indicates a high-level consolidation with some downside pressure.

3. News and Policy Interpretation The latest policy-related news is empty, with no new developments or regulatory changes observed. Market news mainly focuses on large capital movements and increased market participation enthusiasm, with no significant negative signals. Notable events include "Whale @fb7 closed a 20x leveraged BTC long position, losing $3.77 million," reflecting that high-leverage funds exiting could bring short-term downward risk, and also hinting at the risk release of some overly leveraged longs. Another report states: "Glassnode: Bitcoin's chip structure is more robust at the start of the new year, and market participation enthusiasm is rebuilding," which aligns with recent low-volume, slight contraction in K-line, indicating that main funds are re-entering the market. However, the market needs to digest profit-taking and the pressure from deleveraging. In the short term, news and price decline in K-line mutually support each other, showing that in a policy vacuum, market driving forces mainly come from capital and sentiment fluctuations.

4. Analyst Opinions Summary Analyst A mentioned "#BTC Bitcoin shows bottom divergence signals! Attention! Very likely to continue rising!", but when comparing with the K-line, there are no obvious signs of reversal or stabilization; the price remains in a correction and weak oscillation zone. Another analyst explicitly suggested "BTC short entry: 94,080-94,900, TP: 93,400, 92,430, 91,500, 88,000," which aligns with the actual K-line price movements, with most targets already reached. Yet another analyst said: "Today is more volatile, 92,800 and 93,200 did not stabilize; support levels are 92,000 and 91,200." Combining hourly K-line data, the levels of 92,800-93,200 have been broken, and around 91,200 has become an important support zone. Multiple opinions point to resistance at 94,500-94,700 and support at 92,700, 92,100, and 91,200, corresponding to key turning points in the current price. Overall, these views are consistent with the actual K-line trend, though some optimistic forecasts are not yet priced in by the market.

5. Future Trend Prediction and Trading Suggestions Based on current K-line performance, BTC remains weakly consolidating in the short term, with key supports at 91,200 and 90,500. If these are broken, a retest of 89,000 or even 88,000 is highly probable. Strong resistance remains at 92,700 and 94,500. Recent trading volume has sharply decreased, indicating the market is approaching a decision point. Be cautious of sudden volume spikes that could trigger a new rapid wave. Trading suggestions: 1. Aggressive traders can focus on support at 91,000-90,500; if volume does not break below, consider short-term buying with stop-loss below 90,000. 2. If the price fails to break through 92,100-92,700 and rebounds are blocked, consider taking profits or opening short positions at higher levels, with targets at 91,200, 90,500, and 89,000. 3. If volume significantly increases and the price successfully recovers above 92,700, consider medium-term longs targeting 94,500 resistance.

6. Risk Warning Currently, BTC market volume is significantly shrinking, with recent 24-hour lows repeatedly testing support at 91,000-91,200. If this zone is broken, a new round of accelerated decline could occur, with technical risks of a second bottom. High-level oscillations with declining volume suggest that the market is near a decision point, and short-term sharp fluctuations may occur due to sudden sentiment shifts and large orders. It is recommended to set strict stop-losses, avoid blindly chasing highs, and control positions and leverage risks carefully.
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