There was a phase, I also like most of my fellow newcomers to the market:
📊 opening charts from morning to night,
📱 phone vibrating, heartbeat racing,
😵 afraid of missing every green candle.
But the more I traded, the more I realized a harsh truth: money doesn’t come from watching the price board more, but from knowing when NOT to do anything.
After a few years of “paying tuition,” I started to significantly reduce my trading frequency. And the opposite happened: fewer trades – better profits – lighter psychology.
This article doesn’t teach you to “catch the top and bottom,” but shares a mindset that helped me survive and increase the probability of winning in a noisy market.
90% of Market Time Is Just NOISE: Trading in Noise Is Self-Sabotage
On the surface, the market always looks lively:
Today RWANTomorrow DePINThe next day, meme coins “dog-cat variants”
But if you zoom out enough, you’ll see: most of it is just meaningless oscillation.
A report from a16z shows:
Wallet addresses actively decreasing significantlyBut the number of new tokens is exploding exponentially
👉 That indicates one thing: money isn’t entering new markets, but just circulating for short-term speculation. Anyone trading continuously during this phase, the biggest winners are often… exchanges and market makers.
I only choose 2 types of trades:
1️⃣ Genuine breakout, confirmed by time
Example: Bitcoin breaks a major resistance and maintains structure for several days.
2️⃣ Extreme psychological reversal points
RSI in oversold zone for a long time + abnormal volume = market starts to change sides.
Beyond these two cases?
👉 I don’t trade.
👉 No guessing.
👉 No “testing the waters.”
Slow Down to Go Faster – Lessons from Large Capital Flows
Look at big institutions: BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitcoin ETF funds…
They don’t:
Trade M5 scalpingBuy and sell wicksTrade 10 orders/day
They build positions over time.
I started learning that way, with 3 strict principles:
🔒 Each trade risks only a maximum of 2% of capital
🔒 Stop-loss set according to structure, not emotion
🔒 Only increase position when the market moves in the right direction (pyramid)
I force myself:
No more than 5 trades per monthOnly trade when the opportunity is “too clear”
The results are very interesting:
👉 Only a few correct trades but capturing the biggest part of the trend
👉 No longer tired from “constant right and wrong”
The Biggest Enemy Is Not the Market – It’s FOMO
The market doesn’t kill you.
👉 Emotions are what trigger the shot.
Familiar scene:
Coin pumps 40%Group chat shouting “to the moon”Twitter full of arrow charts
If you enter a trade then, chances are you’re buying from someone more rational.
I create a “stupid-proof” mechanism for myself:
🛑 Two consecutive losing trades → take a few days off
🛑 Don’t make decisions when excited or bitter
Instead of watching charts, I spend time:
On-chain analysis: Are whales holding too much token?Dev activity: Is the project truly being built?Legal and policy updates: These are what create long-term waves.
Trading Is a Probability Puzzle, Not Guesswork
I don’t need to be 100% correct. I just need to be right when the odds favor me.
For each trade, I ask myself:
If I’m wrong, how much do I lose?If I’m right, how much do I gain?Is this ratio worth entering?
Some trades I completely miss – and I feel… relieved. Because the market always offers new opportunities, but capital doesn’t revive if you burn it.
One of the trades I’m most satisfied with:
Waiting for a DePIN project on the Solana system to consolidate for nearly 2 monthsOnly entering when weekly breakout + volume confirm
I don’t catch the exact top, but:
✅ Sleep well
✅ No stress
✅ Clear profits
Final Words: The Best Person Is the One Who Can Stay Until the End
Statistics show that big institutions are holding more and more Bitcoin.
They don’t win by “genius predictions,” but by:
Risk managementPatienceTime on their side
For retail traders, just:
👉 Trade less
👉 Be more disciplined
👉 Know how to wait
and you’ve already surpassed most of the market.
The noisier the market, the quieter the winners. Keep your rhythm – that’s the most important K-line path.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
In the midst of chaos, I use the word "WAIT" to raise the win rate to nearly 70%
There was a phase, I also like most of my fellow newcomers to the market: 📊 opening charts from morning to night, 📱 phone vibrating, heartbeat racing, 😵 afraid of missing every green candle. But the more I traded, the more I realized a harsh truth: money doesn’t come from watching the price board more, but from knowing when NOT to do anything. After a few years of “paying tuition,” I started to significantly reduce my trading frequency. And the opposite happened: fewer trades – better profits – lighter psychology. This article doesn’t teach you to “catch the top and bottom,” but shares a mindset that helped me survive and increase the probability of winning in a noisy market. 90% of Market Time Is Just NOISE: Trading in Noise Is Self-Sabotage On the surface, the market always looks lively: Today RWANTomorrow DePINThe next day, meme coins “dog-cat variants” But if you zoom out enough, you’ll see: most of it is just meaningless oscillation. A report from a16z shows: Wallet addresses actively decreasing significantlyBut the number of new tokens is exploding exponentially 👉 That indicates one thing: money isn’t entering new markets, but just circulating for short-term speculation. Anyone trading continuously during this phase, the biggest winners are often… exchanges and market makers. I only choose 2 types of trades: 1️⃣ Genuine breakout, confirmed by time Example: Bitcoin breaks a major resistance and maintains structure for several days. 2️⃣ Extreme psychological reversal points RSI in oversold zone for a long time + abnormal volume = market starts to change sides. Beyond these two cases? 👉 I don’t trade. 👉 No guessing. 👉 No “testing the waters.” Slow Down to Go Faster – Lessons from Large Capital Flows Look at big institutions: BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitcoin ETF funds… They don’t: Trade M5 scalpingBuy and sell wicksTrade 10 orders/day They build positions over time. I started learning that way, with 3 strict principles: 🔒 Each trade risks only a maximum of 2% of capital 🔒 Stop-loss set according to structure, not emotion 🔒 Only increase position when the market moves in the right direction (pyramid) I force myself: No more than 5 trades per monthOnly trade when the opportunity is “too clear” The results are very interesting: 👉 Only a few correct trades but capturing the biggest part of the trend 👉 No longer tired from “constant right and wrong” The Biggest Enemy Is Not the Market – It’s FOMO The market doesn’t kill you. 👉 Emotions are what trigger the shot. Familiar scene: Coin pumps 40%Group chat shouting “to the moon”Twitter full of arrow charts If you enter a trade then, chances are you’re buying from someone more rational. I create a “stupid-proof” mechanism for myself: 🛑 Two consecutive losing trades → take a few days off 🛑 Don’t make decisions when excited or bitter Instead of watching charts, I spend time: On-chain analysis: Are whales holding too much token?Dev activity: Is the project truly being built?Legal and policy updates: These are what create long-term waves. Trading Is a Probability Puzzle, Not Guesswork I don’t need to be 100% correct. I just need to be right when the odds favor me. For each trade, I ask myself: If I’m wrong, how much do I lose?If I’m right, how much do I gain?Is this ratio worth entering? Some trades I completely miss – and I feel… relieved. Because the market always offers new opportunities, but capital doesn’t revive if you burn it. One of the trades I’m most satisfied with: Waiting for a DePIN project on the Solana system to consolidate for nearly 2 monthsOnly entering when weekly breakout + volume confirm I don’t catch the exact top, but: ✅ Sleep well ✅ No stress ✅ Clear profits Final Words: The Best Person Is the One Who Can Stay Until the End Statistics show that big institutions are holding more and more Bitcoin. They don’t win by “genius predictions,” but by: Risk managementPatienceTime on their side For retail traders, just: 👉 Trade less 👉 Be more disciplined 👉 Know how to wait and you’ve already surpassed most of the market. The noisier the market, the quieter the winners. Keep your rhythm – that’s the most important K-line path.