#密码资产动态追踪 $BCH $ETH——In volatile markets, what can outpace most people is never just that small win rate. The real difference lies in whether you have thought clearly about probability.

Simply put, every trade outcome is uncertain. Profit or loss, both are subject to probability. But many traders are stuck in a misconception—chasing high win rates obsessively, while missing the more fundamental issue.

What is the issue? It’s whether you can make decisions according to rules and stick to them.

Trading in the crypto market boils down to these few things:

**First, strategies must have boundaries.** Your methodology needs to be profitable in the long run and have a positive expectation. It’s not about gambling and luck.

**Second, execution must be stable.** After finding a method, it’s about perseverance. Don’t doubt yourself after two losses, and don’t change your approach after a single upward move. This is the hardest part.

**Third, risk must be clearly managed.** If a market shake wipes you out completely, that’s not trading—that’s suicide. Seize high-probability opportunities, cut losses when needed, and ensure each position is properly sized.

The most frustrating part isn’t the technology itself. It’s whether you can accept short-term losses, stay rational in uncertainty, and follow your plan step by step.

Ultimately, trading is a dialogue with your own mind. Those who remain calm amid market fluctuations and execute according to plan win not by luck, but by discipline.

Stick to rational decisions, and time will give you the answer. The final winner is the one who can deliver consistent results.

I’m Lao Zhang, focusing on mid-short-term contracts and medium-long-term spot trading strategies.