2026-01-08 19:24:12

Regarding the expectation of interest rate cuts, honestly, it's just an illusionary promise. The dates of May 19, March 12, and November 11 all serve as evidence — each time the expectation arises, market reactions vary.

The basic logic is simple: as the global reserve currency, what is the likelihood of the US dollar depreciating? Imagine, when have you seen the dollar significantly depreciate relative to other currencies? It's rare. Therefore, trading strategies that rely on the dollar weakening are fundamentally flawed.

What truly preserves value? Hard assets like gold and oil. They do not depend on any national credit system; market consensus is clear. Various beliefs and expectations may fail, but the intrinsic value logic of physical assets never changes. Instead of worrying about whether or when interest rate cuts will happen, focus on those commodities with real pricing power. That is the correct approach to dealing with macroeconomic fluctuations.

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MoonRocketman

· 1h ago

The expectation of interest rate cuts is just a countdown to launch, and the rocket is still on the ground. The strength of the US dollar is right there, and it can't be broken through at all. The real escape velocity is in gold and oil; these are the orbits with pricing power.

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IntrovertMetaverse

· 1h ago

Interest rate cuts are like ghost stories; we've heard them so many times but never got it right. Gold and oil are still reliable; the dollar wants to depreciate? Dream on.

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PessimisticOracle

· 16h ago

The expectation of interest rate cuts is just a harvesting tool for the little guys; it's the same trick every time. Wake up. Dollar depreciation? Overthinking it. Real gold and silver are the true way. Instead of guessing interest rate cuts until you're bald, it's better to go for gold and be practical. This round of market movements has dazzled me; hard assets are more reliable. Expectations are just illusions; only commodity pricing power is trustworthy. The Federal Reserve will never close that door; don't count on it. Bitcoin not attractive anymore? I think gold and oil are the real safe havens. Macroeconomic narratives are too虚; real commodities are the lifesaver. The interest rate cut dream has醒了; now it's time for the super cycle of commodities.

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TokenSleuth

· 01-10 12:03

The expectation of interest rate cuts is just a bluff. Every time, we get hit and still haven't learned. It's better to honestly stockpile gold and oil—these two are the real gold and silver.

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DefiPlaybook

· 01-08 19:53

Based on on-chain data, the market volatility at these three time points ranged between 12-18%, but the fulfillment rate of interest rate cut expectations has always been below the expected value—indicating that market pricing has gradually become ineffective. It's better to directly look at the performance data of the US dollar index over the past 90 days. From a dimensional perspective, the Federal Reserve's influence has not been shaken at all. Instead of speculating on expectations, it’s more solid to allocate to hard assets for APY returns.

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SatoshiHeir

· 01-08 19:52

It should be pointed out that your logic is full of flaws. The probability of the US dollar depreciating is not equal to never depreciating; this is a basic black-and-white fallacy. On-chain data shows that each major surge in commodities has been accompanied by periodic weakness of the US dollar, with 2011 and 2020 serving as evidence.

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DeFiGrayling

· 01-08 19:51

Expectations of interest rate cuts? Basically, it's a relay race—whoever takes the baton loses. Still, genuine assets like gold and oil are more reliable.

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SmartContractRebel

· 01-08 19:37

Interest rate cut expectations? Uh... I’ve been tricked every time and still haven’t learned? Hard currency is the real deal, no doubt about that. Dollar devaluation? Dream on... Gold and oil are the true kings; don’t waste time arguing with those empty expectations. It’s always the same story, really exhausting. Physical assets are the forever true, everything else is just stories. How many times have expectations fallen short, and you’re still betting on rate cuts? Wake up.

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