2026-01-08 20:23:05

Recently, TRADOOR has been quite popular, and a 11% daily increase definitely catches the eye. But I’ve noticed a phenomenon: although the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are trending higher, a closer look reveals obvious signs of stagnation, even slight pullbacks. Meanwhile, the RSI has approached the overbought warning line at 70, and when both lines light up, it usually indicates that short-term momentum may be waning.

Even more interesting is the volume data — a surge of 93% is real, but such a large volume hasn't pushed the price to a new high. It looks more like a high-level turnover rather than genuine accumulation. When everyone is attracted by the red bars on the daily chart, this kind of divergence and volume-driven stagnation on shorter cycles is often the most overlooked but also the most worth cautioning against.

I'm not trying to be bearish; after continuous losses, this kind of "excitement" in the market actually calls for more caution. The core of contrarian thinking isn’t about being bearish on everything, but about carefully checking whether the fundamentals and technicals are truly solid when most people's sentiments are aligned.

**The current attitude is to wait and see**. The risk of long and short positions at this level isn’t very ideal, so it’s more prudent to wait for clearer signals. If the price falls below 1.95 (the support on the 1-hour chart), I might consider trying a small short position, but the stop-loss must be set above 2.08. If it breaks, I’ll exit immediately. The downside targets are first 1.85, then 1.78. Conversely, if volume breaks through 2.15, this logic needs to be overturned and re-evaluated.

TRADOOR-6,79%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

ProveMyZK

· 14h ago

This move is indeed a bit fake. With such high volume, the price can't be pushed up, clearly a game of turnover. RSI is approaching 70, yet people are still hyping it. There are probably more risks in crowded places.

View OriginalReply0

CascadingDipBuyer

· 01-10 19:41

The detail of volume stagnation is really easy to overlook. Despite 93% of the volume, it failed to break the high point, which is quite suspicious. RSI approaching 70 and still being bullish, this rebound might be more fragile than expected. Waiting and watching is the right move. The rhythm is indeed not clear enough, I am also waiting for signals. Only when it breaks 1.95 will I dare to act; otherwise, it still feels a bit虚的 here. After consecutive losses, it's even more important to stay calm. Don't be scared by the red on the daily chart and make reckless moves. Stagnation combined with high-level turnover—I've seen this combo often lead to crashes. 2.15 is the real turning point. I won't do anything before it arrives. Feeling a bit anxious; an 11% increase looks tempting, but the divergence is quite significant. A surge in volume can actually be a warning sign. This logic is a bit counterintuitive but very insightful. Stop loss at 2.08. The choice of this level is quite good; discipline in execution is the most important. Short-term divergence is often more honest than fundamentals. Trust the technical analysis; you won't suffer big losses.

View OriginalReply0

SatoshiChallenger

· 01-10 01:11

Interesting, it's the old trick of volume divergence again. This time, TRADOOR will either make a real breakout or just be a beautiful trap to lure more buyers. After consecutive losses, seeing this kind of "lively" market, I just want to say: history tends to repeat itself. Wait for 1.95 to break, everything else is just playing dirty.

View OriginalReply0

MidsommarWallet

· 01-08 20:49

This wave of gains looks fierce, but with such a large trading volume, it didn't hit a new high? It does seem a bit fake, just typical turnover. Divergence between volume and price usually doesn't bode well. RSI approaching 70 should have been a warning sign early. Watching from this position is still a smart choice. After such a long period of losses, suddenly seeing a "lively" market feels more and more unsettling. Better to wait until it breaks below 1.95. Stagnant price with increased volume is a textbook signal of distribution. Many people overlook these details. When both indicators light up, it's basically the night before exhaustion. Not buying the dip means you accept this reality. It looks more like a carefully arranged trap to attract accumulation, so the stop-loss at 2.08 must be strictly maintained. I've seen too many routines where volume increases without a new high. This time, it's better to play it safe.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainGriller

· 01-08 20:48

Volume is misleading; a 93% increase cannot push new highs, essentially just false hype. A surge in volume with stagnant prices is indeed the easiest to overlook and more painful than a simple bearish signal. Waiting for clear signals is the correct approach to making money; don't be fooled by the daily chart.

View OriginalReply0

DAOTruant

· 01-08 20:36

An 11% increase is indeed tempting, but the feeling of volume expanding without a price increase is a bit strange. The trading volume doesn't match the price... often not a good sign. RSI is almost at 70, indicating obvious short-term overheating. It's better to wait for clearer signals before taking action. Consider shorting only if it breaks 1.95; otherwise, the risk-reward at this level is too poor.

View OriginalReply0

NoStopLossNut

· 01-08 20:35

Uh... I also see the volume expansion and stagnation pattern, feels like I've seen this trick before --- It's the same divergence play again, last time it was played like this, it directly crashed to the ground --- Waiting and watching is the right move, I feel uncomfortable just looking at it now, better to wait until a break below --- 93% trading volume still hasn't reached a new high, this thing is indeed a bit suspicious --- The double top feeling is getting stronger, I think I need to be cautious and not let my guard down --- Not bearish, just a scare trap haha, I understand this mindset --- If 1.95 breaks, we'll meet, I remember the stop-loss at 2.08 --- It's always the same trick to lure more buyers, I've learned to be smarter --- Feels like a crash is not far away, still need to endure

View OriginalReply0

StableBoi

· 01-08 20:32

The move of volume expansion with stagnation in price can indeed be confusing on the daily chart. Even though RSI is almost overbought, you're still chasing... Your logic isn't wrong, but it's better to wait for a signal.

View OriginalReply0