Gate 2025 Year-End Community Gala DOGE Reversal Reality: $0.15 is More Than Just a Price—It's a Battlefield 🐕⚔

After over two months of repeated false rebounds followed by sharp sell-offs, DOGE finally stabilized in early 2025. Since the lows at the end of December, the price has rebounded nearly 33%, marking the strongest rebound since November.
But this move is not driven by indicators or hype—it's driven by large holders.
This reversal didn't start on the chart.
It started on the chain.
Why is this reversal different?
From November to the end of December, DOGE continued to make lower lows, while RSI kept rising—classic bullish divergence.
However, previous rebounds based on similar setups failed quickly, with gains between 13–17%.
What was the missing key factor before?
👉 Holder behavior.
Mid-tier whales changed the game.
Wallets holding 1M–10M DOGE were the main reason for previous rebound failures—they sold off during each rebound.
📉 Previous failures:
November 25: holdings dropped from 109.1B to 107.2B DOGE
December 21–22: holdings dropped from 108.6B to 107.9B DOGE
Each rebound ended in a crash.
📈 This time is different:
Since December 31, mid-tier whale holdings increased from ~108.4B to 108.8B DOGE.
Net accumulation: 40 million DOGE ($6M)
No early profit-taking—steadily holding.
This shift has transformed DOGE from a short-term trading market to a trend-driven market.
But risks are increasing—mega whales are exiting.
A successful reversal doesn't mean the risks are gone—it is reshaping the risk landscape.
🔻 Since January 1, wallets holding 1B+ DOGE have reduced holdings:
From ~726.8B down to 718B DOGE.
Net sell-off: 8.8 billion DOGE ($1.3B)
Meanwhile, momentum indicators show hidden bearish divergence, indicating buying strength is weakening even as prices rise.
📌 Translation:
Mid-tier whales are holding.
Mega whales are dispersing.
Retail investor sentiment is turning bullish again.
This combination usually leads to a slowdown in momentum rather than acceleration.
$0.151—The Decisive Threshold
Currently, price is more important than indicators.
🔹 Failure to hold above $0.151
Likely to retrace to $0.137
Deeper risk at $0.115
Confirmation of whale dispersal + weakening momentum
🔹 A strong daily close above $0.151
Bullish divergence loses influence
Supply is being absorbed
Upside potential opens to $0.173
2025 Reality Check: MEME Coins Are No Longer Driven by Retail Investors
DOGE reflects a broader market shift.
📊 On-chain data shows:
Large DOGE transactions (>$100K): 12% (2023) → 38% (2025)
Small retail transactions (<$1K): 45% → 19%
Price control has shifted from sentiment to capital structure.
When DO