Some time ago, I attended a blockchain club class at a well-known university and noticed an interesting phenomenon. A few years ago, this community indeed nurtured many excellent trading teams. They accumulated a lot of capital by entering early and were once rising stars in the scene.
But in the past two years, there has been a clear lack of new blood, and I no longer see the influx of new traders in large numbers. During an industry event I attended yesterday, I had a profound realization—the scene has long shifted from social networking to old acquaintances reminiscing. Honestly, it was a bit painful, but from my observations, about half of the people still active in the circle will probably choose to exit or be directly淘汰 by the market in the near future.
This actually reflects the brutal logic of the crypto market cycle. Entry timing, mindset adjustment, risk control—any problem in these areas can become a reason for淘汰.
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LongTermDreamer
· 01-11 20:52
Haha, this is the fate of a three-year cycle. The early entrants indeed made money, but only a few can survive until the next bull market.
It's not surprising that there's a gap among newcomers. Who would dare to follow the trend and come in? You have to suffer a few losses to understand the importance of risk control.
If you can't get past the mindset, no matter how strong your skills are, it's useless. I've seen many genius traders end up being painfully educated by the market.
But on the other hand, this kind of survival of the fittest is precisely the market's self-correction. Those who survive are the ones who truly understand. Could this actually be an opportunity?
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Anon32942
· 01-09 09:52
Really, those early people are now living examples of survivor bias. When newcomers come in, it's immediately a bear market, and their starting line is a whole street behind. How can they compete?
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SchrödingersNode
· 01-09 09:49
Early entry is just a illusion of being a winner; who still believes in it now?
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GasFeeSurvivor
· 01-09 09:49
Early entrants are all enjoying the dividends, while newcomers are immediately washed out... That's why I say survivor bias is most evident in crypto.
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LightningHarvester
· 01-09 09:45
Early entry is indeed a cheat code, but how many of those people who are still alive have actually made a profit? Most are still relying on luck to buy the dip, right? The gap for newcomers is really heartbreaking, indicating that the circle has shifted from an incremental to a stockpile.
Some time ago, I attended a blockchain club class at a well-known university and noticed an interesting phenomenon. A few years ago, this community indeed nurtured many excellent trading teams. They accumulated a lot of capital by entering early and were once rising stars in the scene.
But in the past two years, there has been a clear lack of new blood, and I no longer see the influx of new traders in large numbers. During an industry event I attended yesterday, I had a profound realization—the scene has long shifted from social networking to old acquaintances reminiscing. Honestly, it was a bit painful, but from my observations, about half of the people still active in the circle will probably choose to exit or be directly淘汰 by the market in the near future.
This actually reflects the brutal logic of the crypto market cycle. Entry timing, mindset adjustment, risk control—any problem in these areas can become a reason for淘汰.