#Solana行情走势解读 $ETH Evening Market Observation:

The 3265-3132 range box for the second pancake has been completely broken through, and subsequent attempts to rally back into the range have failed. Looking at previous rebounds, they mostly encountered resistance around 3132, indicating that this level has now become a key resistance.

From breaking down to reclaiming, the difficulty is indeed high. A breakout is easy, but regaining stability is not so simple.

The next move depends critically on whether 3132 can be effectively broken. If it cannot be broken, the second pancake will enter a sideways consolidation phase, and holding steady without falling is already a good outcome. Conversely, if it retraces and breaks below 3077 support, beware of accelerated decline.

**Trading Perspective**:
- If the second pancake volume breaks above 3132, consider going long with the trend, with stop-loss set below
- If volume drops below 3077, consider shorting on the right side, also pay attention to risk control
- Keep a close eye on volume changes; any breakout without volume should be approached with caution

If you prefer left-side trading, you can also consider light short positions around 3132, but be prepared for stop-loss triggers. I personally dislike left-side trading because the risk of being stopped out is high; I prefer to earn less but protect my mindset. Once repeatedly stopped out, the psychological defense line can easily break down.

**By Timeframe**:
- On the hourly chart, if 3132 holds, look up to 3182-3229
- On the 4-hour chart, a break below 3080 should alert to targets of 3021-2963
- The daily triangle pattern has not been broken yet; the daily bullish trend support remains at 3009. As long as it doesn’t break here, there’s no need to worry excessively.

Currently, the daily MACD fast and slow lines have all returned above the zero line, indicating that the bulls are still in control. The real warning is when MACD re-enters below zero; then consider risk mitigation.

**Important Reminder**: At 9:30 PM tonight, non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate will be released, which often trigger intense volatility. If your risk tolerance is limited, it’s recommended to wait until the data is released and US stock markets open before seeking entry opportunities, to avoid being swept out by the data-driven moves.