From a technical perspective, ZEC currently exhibits a bearish overall pattern. Both the structure and fundamentals point to a continued downward trend.
Strategically, we adopt a cautious approach—our last rollover resulted in a 40-point loss on this coin, so this time we have learned our lesson. The principle of not adding to losing positions is maintained, using narrow stop-losses to test the waters. As for when to roll over again, it entirely depends on the strength of the rebound.
From a key level perspective, once the decline wave and the bullish-bearish switch boundary are broken, the height of the rebound is estimated to reach the middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, which is basically the ceiling.
Based on this judgment, shorting in the 462-468 range is a good opportunity. The stop can be set with 20-30 points of space. The target is aligned with the previous low, around 380. Once the opportunity presents itself, it can be entered.
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ApeWithAPlan
· 5h ago
Lessons from 40 points, this time I learned to be smart. Narrow stop-loss trial and error is indeed reliable, I agree.
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BrokenDAO
· 01-09 11:58
It's that same old "learning from lessons" rhetoric again... After losing 40 points last time, have they learned to be smart this time? Haha, this is a classic case of incentive distortion—setting stop-losses too tight makes it easier to get washed out, and then you have to add to your position. The mechanism itself is flawed.
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GasFeePhobia
· 01-09 11:53
Hmm... ZEC is going to keep falling again. The lesson from the 40-point drop is still fresh in my mind. This time, I need to stay steady and avoid trembling.
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DefiPlaybook
· 01-09 11:49
I lost another 40 points. This time, I really learned my lesson. Narrow-range stop-loss testing is something I must master. Don't rely on averaging down during floating losses anymore; that's a sure way to lose money.
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LightningSentry
· 01-09 11:41
That 40-point move really hurt that time. This time I learned my lesson and won't add to my position. Still, you have to respect the market.
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MetaDreamer
· 01-09 11:39
Hmm... it's ZEC again. The painful lesson of losing 40 points last time is still fresh in my mind. This time, it seems I've learned to be smarter.
Should I wait for a dip between 462-468? It still feels a bit risky, but using a narrow stop-loss is indeed a safe move.
From a technical perspective, ZEC currently exhibits a bearish overall pattern. Both the structure and fundamentals point to a continued downward trend.
Strategically, we adopt a cautious approach—our last rollover resulted in a 40-point loss on this coin, so this time we have learned our lesson. The principle of not adding to losing positions is maintained, using narrow stop-losses to test the waters. As for when to roll over again, it entirely depends on the strength of the rebound.
From a key level perspective, once the decline wave and the bullish-bearish switch boundary are broken, the height of the rebound is estimated to reach the middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, which is basically the ceiling.
Based on this judgment, shorting in the 462-468 range is a good opportunity. The stop can be set with 20-30 points of space. The target is aligned with the previous low, around 380. Once the opportunity presents itself, it can be entered.