2026-01-09 11:31:02

#以太坊大户持仓变化 $BTC $ETH $BNB Sudden change in tone! Federal Reserve Board Member predicts a 150 basis point cut in 2026

Last Thursday's news caused quite a stir in the market—Federal Reserve Board Member Milan publicly stated that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by about 150 basis points in 2026. What does this magnitude mean? It’s equivalent to six consecutive cuts; in plain language, it could signal a major easing wave.

A comparison makes it clearer. Throughout 2025, under Trump's strong pressure, the Federal Reserve only cut 75 basis points. Doubling that in 2026 sends a significant signal—whether it indicates an accelerating economic recovery or hints that risks have already accumulated.

Milan's explanation is straightforward. On one hand, U.S. inflation has approached the 2% target; without further stimulus, the recovery momentum might be lost. On the other hand, the latest employment data already shows signs of cooling—if there’s no improvement in the coming months, the Fed may be forced to take strong action.

There's an interesting detail worth noting. Milan was personally appointed by Trump in September last year and is widely regarded as Trump's "voice" within the Fed. During the rate cut decisions in October and December last year, he was the only dissenting member, with the simple and blunt reason—"cuts are too conservative, start with 50 basis points!" Against this background, the expectation of a 150 basis point cut doesn’t seem so arbitrary.

The logical deduction is this: if the Fed Chair in 2026 is truly replaced by Trump’s appointee, then the 150 basis point cut isn’t just scare tactics. If not, then this expectation should be halved—75 basis points for the whole year, which is still a substantial easing scale.

From a crypto market perspective, such policy expectation fluctuations often impact assets like $BTC and $ETH. An easing cycle usually means ample liquidity, making risk assets more active. But this depends on the true trajectory of economic data—if employment continues to worsen, even if rate cuts happen, it could indicate underlying concerns within the U.S. economy.

What do you think? Will 2026 really see a "flood-level" easing wave? Share your thoughts in the comments.

BTC3,14%

ETH6,56%

BNB3,19%

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NFTFreezer

· 01-12 09:16

150 basis points? Is this guy exaggerating or does he really have confidence? I'm a bit confused. --- Trump's people are just talking, take it with a grain of salt, don't take it too seriously. --- Liquidity injection in 2026? I'm only concerned about whether BTC can rally again next year. --- Worsening employment but still cutting interest rates, this logic doesn't quite hold up. --- This guy Milan really dares to speak, he opposed 50 basis points before, now he's talking about 150... --- Instead of guessing about 2026, it's better to see if ETH can break its previous high in the near future. --- Easing has brought ample liquidity, but can risk assets really benefit from the dividends? That's a question mark. --- It's either the Federal Reserve or interest rate cuts, but in the end, it's all about BTC's own performance. --- Doubling the scale of liquidity injection? Should I buy now or wait a bit longer? --- Trump's move at the Federal Reserve is a bit too optimistic about the expectations, isn't it?

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GateUser-afe07a92

· 01-09 22:56

This guy in Milan is really good at reading the situation. Trump's people definitely want to make a big move. 150 basis points? By then, the blade tax alone will wipe out profits. The Federal Reserve is definitely trying to bleed the market to save it. Employment data is signaling it, so a rate cut is certain. The key is whether BTC can ride this liquidity wave. It feels like 2026 will be crazy, but it depends on how employment data trends. If it continues to worsen, it will be really dangerous.

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NFTRegretful

· 01-09 12:00

150 basis points? No way, is this real? Feels like another surge is coming Wait, this guy Milan is actually Trump's person, so this statement is more credible I'm just worried that when the economic data comes out, the risk will be exposed before the rate cut happens 2026 is still early, let's see how far Bitcoin can go this year

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GateUser-6bc33122

· 01-09 12:00

Milan, this guy is just Trump's mouthpiece. If the 150 basis points really come, the crypto market is probably going to take off. --- Even at a 75 basis point cut, I think that's a disguised positive signal. --- The key still depends on employment data. If the economy really has problems, interest rate cuts won't save it. --- With the easing cycle underway, risk assets are indeed easy to speculate on, but this time it feels a bit hollow. --- If Trump's presidential candidate really changes, then it's truly a massive liquidity injection.

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rugged_again

· 01-09 12:00

Milan this guy is just Trump's mouthpiece, openly talking about a 150 basis point cut. Are they really going to loosen monetary policy? But I feel like there's a lot of water in this... If the economy tanks, they'll cut interest rates. What's the difference from a market rescue? Reaching 75 by 2026 is already good, don't overthink it. Wait, if employment data really worsens, this wave of crypto gains might be just temporary. When it crashes, it will be even more brutal. The logic is a bit convoluted, but anyway, Fed easing is definitely good for BTC. I'll just wait and see.

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P2ENotWorking

· 01-09 11:59

Milan's guy is just Trump's mouthpiece, claiming 150 basis points sounds nice, but the real drama only starts if there's a change in the chairmanship. Wait, this logic doesn't add up. If economic data is bad, shouldn't they loosen policy? Isn't that risky? When the 2026 floods come, BTC will be in favor, but only if the US is truly fine. This kind of expectation is very misleading; we said the same thing last year. Basically, it's just waiting to see if the Fed Chair changes. If they do, it's a flood; if not, it's a half-price deal. Feels like they're just hyping stories again. The real big easing will have to wait a bit longer.

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CryptoFortuneTeller

· 01-09 11:46

150 basis points? Are you playing word games with us here? If it really happens, it's a discounted deal. Trump's move is indeed dogshit. If only a new chairman were involved, then there might be some hope; otherwise, it's just scaring the retail investors.

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