2026-01-10 17:24:13

Those seemingly certain opportunities, to put it simply, are just what you have figured out yourself. There is no deal in this world that benefits everyone equally; true certainty comes from understanding it. Why do you understand it? Because you have accumulated experience through countless trial and error. These experiences tell you at critical moments—this time, there is potential.

But this thing is based on personal judgment. Everyone's experience differs, and their understanding of market signals varies accordingly. As for the market itself? It is a container of emotions, with turbulent feelings. Some see risks in it, while others see opportunities—that's the difference.

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GasFeeCrying

· 01-10 17:53

That's right, the key is to go through the pitfalls yourself to see through them. The more pitfalls you've stepped into, the faster you can avoid them next time—that's experience, right? But honestly, most people just get lucky when they see an opportunity. The cost of trial and error is too high; how many can really hold on until the day they succeed? It sounds simple, but executing it is another matter. I understand this logic, but market sentiment can change suddenly—who can really grasp it accurately? Seeing risks and seeing opportunities are essentially a matter of perception difference; there's no way to unify them. Is personal judgment reliable? I'm the type who often makes mistakes in judgment. Experience, this thing, how much must you pay to gain it?

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AirdropHuntress

· 01-10 17:53

Those who understood early on have already gotten on board. Speaking so eloquently is actually just armchair strategizing after the fact.

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consensus_failure

· 01-10 17:53

That's right, but that's why nine out of ten people can't make money. If you don't have enough experience, don't just guess around; most likely, you're fooling yourself. The market cares about who has a strong mentality, not who is the smartest. Only after stepping on the pit can you have a say; just talking on paper is useless. This wave is indeed an emotional game; some panic, some get carried away, and I just smile in the middle. Understanding doesn't mean you can execute; psychological resilience is the hardest part. Most people's "sense of certainty" is just gambler's mentality—don't fool yourself.

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CompoundPersonality

· 01-10 17:52

That's correct, but the trap lies here — most people haven't experienced enough trial and error, yet they are thinking about getting rich overnight. Understanding and thinking you understand are completely two different things. The market is just a harvesting machine; the same signals can make some people profit and others lose, depending entirely on their perspective. Did I understand this wave of the market or get caught? It's hard to say right now.

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MissingSats

· 01-10 17:48

You're right, but most people don't even have the capital to try and fail. The market is basically a casino; once you think you've understood it, you're likely to lose. I really didn't understand this wave, so I'll just keep idling. Those who see the opportunity are often the ones who get slaughtered the hardest later. Experience? All I have are a bunch of loss statements. Certainty? Haha, that word is just a joke in the crypto world. Trying and failing too many times just leads to bankruptcy. Don't deceive yourself. It feels like survivor bias—those who survive say they understood it. Personal judgment is worth a few bucks; a market dump can wipe everything out.

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NFTRegretful

· 01-10 17:38

That's right, but who bears the cost of trial and error?

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BridgeJumper

· 01-10 17:29

That's right, but I'm just worried that what I come up with is an illusion. --- The cost of trial and error is too high; most people can't endure until that "understanding" moment. --- It sounds reasonable, but who can truly grasp market sentiment? --- The key is that personal judgment is often hijacked by one's desires, and objectivity is long gone. --- Certainty? I think most of it comes from good luck; don't deceive yourself. --- This advice isn't very useful for experienced people, and beginners are more likely to become overconfident. --- Emotional container... In simple terms, it's gambler psychology; everyone wants to be the one who sees through.

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