Bitcoin is likely to continue fluctuating within the range tomorrow (January 12, 2026). This is not a new phenomenon, but understanding exactly where it might get stuck is still very important.

The core trading range is between $89,500 and $91,500. There is strong resistance above and support below. To truly break through in a certain direction, we need to see volume signals — this is the key.

**Let's look at the key levels above and below**

On the resistance side, $91,500 to $92,000 is a short-term tough nut; this level has been tested multiple times and each time was pushed down. Further up, the $93,600 daily Bollinger Band upper band is also an important hurdle.

On the support side, $90,000 is a psychological barrier, and many traders will place bets around this level. Going lower, the $89,500 to $89,000 range is a short-term bullish line of defense. If this line is broken, it becomes dangerous — the critical support at $87,500 might need to be considered, and a breakdown could accelerate a pullback.

**What do the technicals say?**

On the daily chart, RSI is slightly bullish, and MACD looks positive, but there is a long upper shadow, indicating weakness when trying to move higher. The 4-hour chart shows a different picture: RSI is turning bearish, MACD is strongly bearish, and short-term correction pressure is quite high. The 1-hour chart shows RSI in neutral territory, MACD also bearish, and overall it’s a typical oscillation state.

Overall, the short-term trend is bearish, but the medium-term remains bullish — just waiting for volume breakout signals.

**Market and sentiment overview**

On the macro front, Federal Reserve policies remain uncertain, and market sentiment is cautious. Liquidity is relatively low, and the flow of funds into the market has slowed. Bulls and bears are fighting intensely. Sentiment-wise, upward momentum is weak, but there are buyers on dips, so oscillation is very likely. The market is very sensitive to these key levels.

From a capital perspective, there’s an interesting dynamic — ETFs are experiencing outflows, but institutions are increasing holdings. This indicates that everyone is still undecided, waiting to see which way the market will go.

**Possible scenarios for tomorrow**

The most likely scenario is sideways consolidation. Without any major news, the market will probably fluctuate within the narrow range of $90,000 to $91,500. During such times, the strategy should be to buy low and sell high, focusing on defense rather than aiming for big profits.

If there’s an upward breakout, volume stabilizes above $91,500 to $92,000, or even tests $93,600, then attention should be paid to whether funds are truly flowing in and whether market sentiment is turning optimistic.

Downside break scenarios should also be prepared for. If volume pushes below $89,500 to $89,000, then $87,500 could become the next target, and the risk of a deep correction becomes imminent.

**How to operate more safely**

It’s best to keep positions light and avoid heavy leverage. Set stop-losses for longs below $89,000, and for shorts above $92,000. Wait for volume breakout signals before taking action. Don’t overtrade during oscillations; small bets at key levels are enough. This approach will help maintain a better mindset and control risks.