These years in the crypto world, to be honest, I haven't studied systematically. After the big bull run in 2005, I sold my early holdings of BNB and BTC at a quarter of the retracement (BNB made up the majority), but I later re-entered the market. This time, it's not just because my gains doubled on paper, but more because I want to seriously understand the logic of this field—after all, I've pretty much wrapped up my real-life affairs, and the uniqueness of the crypto market has been quite helpful for my overall life planning.

The focus in recent months has been on deepening my understanding of candlestick charts. I’ve mentioned short-term cycles before, but to truly grasp them, I need to experience a full bear and bull market cycle across multiple trading pairs. It may sound simple, but behind it is a huge amount of time and effort.

The market is indeed filled with experts—trading both short and long, bullish and bearish—and some even say candlestick charts are useless. But my view is straightforward—based on history, candlesticks are records of what has already happened, and the larger the cycle, the harder it is to deceive. Talking about the future without considering candlestick charts is simply unreliable.

So at the beginning of the year, I started organizing the yearly trend lines of various mainstream coins. This is a necessary framework for understanding large cycles. Those who truly understand candlestick charts are not afraid of how the market moves.

Let me share some stimulating data. Over the past 8 years, even if I only invested $1,000 and held any of the coins shown in the chart without trading, and without considering the all-time highs, just based on the price in January 2026:

Taking BTC as an example: the price was $2,156 in 2017, and projected to be $89,669 in 2026—what does this gap tell us? It shows how absurdly wealth accumulates for long-term holders.