#密码资产动态追踪 In the winter of 2018, I curled up in a basement rented in Shenzhen, six square meters, with no heating, only an electric blanket. I had 300 yuan left in my bank card, spending my days serving dishes in a restaurant, and my nights staring at K-line charts.

Seven years later, the account balance has grown to over 22 million.

It's not luck, but four rules summarized from bloodshed and sacrifice.

**Rule 1: Rapid rise must be followed by rapid fall; distribution is right in front of you**

During that market surge in 2018, I identified a coin that skyrocketed 320% in ten days, and I forced myself to go all-in with 80,000 yuan. On the third day, it plummeted 18%, losing 60,000 yuan in a week. That loss taught me: after a gain of over 30%, if it consolidates sideways for 3 to 5 days, then suddenly drops 15% with increased volume, the big players are basically pulling out. When I see this kind of pattern now, I go short every time—no exceptions.

**Rule 2: Sideways consolidation at high levels is not a bottom, but a trap**

In 2019, I held mainstream coins, watching the market consolidate for two months. I thought a rebound was inevitable, so I added leverage and increased my position. As a result, I was cut in half.

Later, I figured out the pattern: if consolidation lasts over 20 days, turnover rate is less than 2%, and the price deviates more than 20% from the 20-day moving average, it’s a typical signal of major players distributing. Now, once my system detects this pattern, I immediately start reducing positions—no questions asked.

**Rule 3: The bottom is judged by volume, not price**

On March 12, 2020, during that crash, I wanted to bottom fish $LINK but got trapped badly. I finally understood what a true bottom looks like: volume contraction combined with gentle volume increases over three days with small bullish candles—this is the real signal.

Last year, Bitcoin showed this pattern at around 25,000. I went all-in, and when it rose to 42,000, I sold, earning 5.8 million in one trade. Data doesn’t lie.

**Rule 4: Volume reveals the truth; position size determines life or death**

Only those who survive long enough have the right to profit in this market.

My principle is simple: only use half a position, never leverage. Last year, I entered when $PEPE volume increased fivefold, and once the trend broke, I took profits immediately. I earned 12 times my investment and avoided the subsequent big crash.

This market isn’t about who’s the smartest; it’s about who can stay alive. The market is constantly changing its skin, but human nature remains the same. Holding onto your bottom line is the key to going further.