2026-01-13 10:28:10

Regarding my trading idea on XMR, I plan to short continuously from now until 2026.

The 670 level is not the top, but a signal for me to start building short positions. I don’t try to guess where the highest point is; my strategy is straightforward—gradually establish short positions in batches, gradually probing the coin’s ceiling. Every time there’s a rally, I add another short position, which effectively lowers the overall cost with new positions.

Will I get liquidated? Honestly, it would take a loss of several thousand dollars to wipe out my position. I can withstand this financial pressure, and more importantly, I have enough patience and ammunition to fight it out.

Why am I so optimistic about this shorting opportunity? Three reasons:

**From a cycle perspective**, the bull market is already nearing its end. The recent rallies are essentially to facilitate big players’ exits. **Regulatory aspect**, the policy sword hanging over XMR has never been lifted. During the bull market, it was just a marginal project; in a bear market, it will be among the first to suffer. **Liquidity**, market funds are retreating, and highly concentrated, illiquid small coins will be the first to suffer.

I am not doing short-term trading; my goal is to understand the entire bear market cycle. The timeframe is set until October 2026, holding these short positions all along. By then, the true face of the market will be revealed—I look forward to those sharp declines, even halving again and again.

The market is still in a frenzy now, but I am already laying out my plans. When the storm subsides, who is truly naked in the water will be crystal clear.

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AirdropHunter420

· 6h ago

Bro, can you really hold a short position for two years? I bet five bucks you'll close it halfway through. Regulation is no joke; XMR will eventually be delisted by exchanges. Short until 2026? I feel like you're betting on a nonexistent bear market. You're so confident, why not go all in short instead? You're right, the big players' dumping strategies are indeed old news. I think you're underestimating XMR's resilience; privacy coins aren't that easy to kill. In two years, how many policy changes have there been? How can you be sure the trend won't reverse? A complete collapse after another—what kind of market despair does that take? Coins with poor liquidity have long been washed out by institutions. Have you really looked at XMR's liquidity? Bull market at the end? I think it's more like a correction before a new round of launch.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 6h ago

Two years is such a long time, I truly think you have a strong gambling spirit... Bro, can this short XMR withstand a regulatory hit, or will it be over? Is shorting small coins really this stable? Why do I always lose money? I've learned your method of lowering costs, but psychological resilience is a bit difficult. Not touching it for two years? I would go crazy. I admire your willpower.

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AirdropJunkie

· 6h ago

Hey, doing a short on XMR until 2026? That's really bold, the regulatory risk is indeed a huge pressure. Speaking of the 670 layout short position, it sounds quite stable, just worried about a black swan flying out and smashing the face. Shorting small-cap coins with poor liquidity is on point, but XMR's privacy coin attributes still have a market cap, don't underestimate it. A few thousand dollars liquidation threshold, I need to learn about fund management. Selling at the end of a bull market, this logic makes sense, just afraid you'll only realize what "my wrong judgment" means in 2026 haha.

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PhantomMiner

· 6h ago

Regulation is hanging over us, XMR will eventually face scrutiny. Two years of holding short positions? Brother, you're really brave. I’m too scared to hold on that long. Whales selling at the end of the bull market, this logic isn’t wrong, but it’s heavily gambling. A 50% cut again? Wake up, buddy, the crypto world isn’t that linear. Can you tolerate a loss of a few thousand dollars? That’s the confidence of the wealthy. XMR’s liquidity is indeed dragging down, small-cap coins are truly cannon fodder in a bear market. Regulation is really hanging over our heads, privacy coins are forever the pain. Let’s wait until 2026, and see who’s laughing last.

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BoredStaker

· 6h ago

Wait, can you really hold a two-year short position without closing it? I've seen too many stories of "long-term holding" ending with overnight liquidation.

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faded_wojak.eth

· 6h ago

Bro, your move is pretty bold. I don't dare to jump into the XMR pit. I understand the strategy of lowering costs, but will the regulatory sword really fall sooner or later? It feels like you're gambling on policy. 2026 is still far away. Just being able to withstand these few years of psychological fluctuations is already good.

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