2026-01-13 10:41:08

#密码资产动态追踪 Ethereum stuck at $3100, seemingly calm but undercurrents are surging

Ethereum is oscillating around $3100, appearing tranquil on the surface, but in fact a strange silence before a big storm.

Underlying risks are deeply concerning — over $900 million in long positions are pressing against the $3000 support, while over $1.1 billion in short positions are holding firm above $3200. These two price levels are not only technical key points but also the "deadly points" for both bulls and bears.

Adding to the trouble, current market liquidity has been halved compared to the previous rally, with a decline of over 60%. A small pond suddenly hosting an aircraft carrier—any ripple could capsize the boat.

The real dangerous scenario looks like this:

Once touching one of these levels, the waterfall effect of forced liquidations will amplify normal fluctuations by several times, causing a large number of positions to evaporate instantly.

If it falls below $3000, the bulls' lifeline collapses. Chain reactions of liquidations will trigger a wave after wave of sell orders, creating a liquidity gap that makes rebounds extremely difficult, greatly increasing the chances of further declines.

If volume breaks through $3200, a short trap is triggered. Forced liquidations will initiate a short squeeze, as shorts run, prices rise, and more are liquidated — this vicious cycle will be infinitely magnified in a liquidity-starved environment.

How to survive? Remember these:

1. Heavy betting on direction is slow suicide. Stay humble; survival is the most important.

2. Set stop-loss for longs at least 50 points below $3000. For shorts, stop-loss above $3200. Breakouts mean run, don’t hesitate.

3. Leverage over 5x is basically gambling with your life. At this leverage, one liquidation means everything — don’t be the "cannon fodder" in the liquidation army.

Long-term traders survive not by luck, but by strong execution and discipline. Stop-loss when needed, reduce positions when necessary, learn to challenge your own trading rules — only then will the market give you a way out.

ETH2,62%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

6 Likes

Reward
6
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DaoDeveloper

· 7h ago

the liquidity crunch is the real killer here... reminds me of analyzing merge incentives last cycle. those 1.9B in trapped positions basically form a fragile equilibrium—one cascade triggers cascading liquidations. classically unstable nash equilibrium tbh

Reply0

gm_or_ngmi

· 7h ago

Here we go again with the alarmist talk, a 900 million to 1.1 billion situation, do you really see yourself as a crypto prophet? --- This liquidity is really suffocating, even Bitcoin can't breathe, let alone Ethereum. --- Setting stop-loss below 3000 for 50 points? That's funny, slippage just eats you up. --- Making it out alive is already good, don't expect to make money, friends. --- A 5x leverage directly results in liquidation fees, I finally understand this time. --- Just want to know whether to go short or long now, which one leads to hell faster. --- Sounds nice, but when it really crashes, who isn't getting liquidated anyway? --- This article advises people to stay alive, but everyone who clicks in ends up dead. --- A 60% liquidity cut in half, still brave enough to trade futures. --- How long has this price of 3100 been stuck, are we about to see another dip?

View OriginalReply0

AlwaysMissingTops

· 7h ago

It's the same old story, liquidity exhaustion + position confrontation, feeling like an explosion could happen at any moment. 3000 and 3200 are like two knives, whoever cuts first, anyway, neither will make us feel good. So, as I always say, leverage is truly a slow-acting poison; staying alive is much more important than making quick money. Wait, are people rushing to buy the dip right now a bit crazy? Forget it, better to set proper stop-losses and not gamble with the market.

View OriginalReply0

InscriptionGriller

· 7h ago

The liquidity halving the situation, this is the real kill shot. Over 900 million longs pressing at 3000, 1.1 billion shorts stuck at 3200, if one doesn't stop it, it's a waterfall liquidation. Don't ask me how I know. --- Betting heavily on a direction? That's slow suicide, you'll eventually be harvested as a leek. Staying alive is more important than anything else, I truly believe that. --- Leverage over 5x is equivalent to gambling for your life. The cannon fodder in the liquidation army all come from this. If you have that kind of mindset, you'd better study on-chain evidence instead. --- Liquidity anemia here is like launching an aircraft carrier; any ripple can capsize you. Seemingly calm, but actually undercurrents are surging. This wave definitely feels like a point of no return. --- Longs stop-loss stuck below 2950, shorts above 3200. Breakthrough and run, don't hesitate. This is the proper way to survive—don't fight the market, fight your discipline. --- Underlying hidden dangers are very painful. The death spiral gameplay of the Ponzi scheme is coming. Chain reactions of liquidations smashing the market, buyer power fracturing, the probability of continued decline is very high. --- This situation, to put it plainly, is just a leek harvesting machine. Once the stop-loss line is touched, forced liquidation triggers a waterfall. Big players have been waiting for this moment.

View OriginalReply0

YieldFarmRefugee

· 7h ago

Another horror story about cutting leeks again. 3000 and 3200 are like two knives; whoever bleeds first loses. Really? Halving liquidity and still daring to open high leverage. Tired of living? Stop-loss? Most people can't even do it, words sound better than actions. If this wave results in liquidation, they'll blame the market darkness again—classic case.

View OriginalReply0

WhaleMinion

· 7h ago

3000 and 3200 are just sitting there, feeling like they could explode at any moment I don't dare to hold a heavy position, life is really tough Liquidity is so poor, 5x leverage is indeed a suicidal play Stop loss, stop loss, stop loss, I've said it a thousand times but some people still don't listen No wonder those people are always on the liquidation list The 3100 level is really uncomfortable, can't go up and can't go down A small pond launching a carrier, sooner or later it will capsize, brother Looking at the pressure of over 900 million longs, I just want to laugh, they really dare to gamble Living is the most important, everything else is虚的, got it everyone

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-ccc36bc5

· 8h ago

Liquidity halved and still daring to open a carrier, this batch of retail investors is really brave --- 3000 and 3200 are the two death points; when the liquidation wave hits, no one can escape --- Leverage above five times is basically seeking death. I wonder how many people are still gambling --- That's right, surviving is more important than making money. The key is strong stop-loss execution --- Playing big waves in a small pond, many people will die this round --- With such heavy long and short positions, touching one of these price levels will cause the entire market to explode --- Still holding heavy positions with such poor liquidity, really want to go all-in and gamble it all, huh

View OriginalReply0