2026-01-13 11:25:07

Tonight at 21:30 US December CPI data will be released. Will it break the market deadlock this time?

Currently, institutions generally expect a figure of 2.7%, which basically means betting on whether US inflation can smoothly come down. In my opinion, this data is as critical as it gets.

Why is the crypto world paying so much attention to this? Let’s break it down simply:

CPI data released → Federal Reserve rate cut room → Global liquidity environment → Capital flowing into or out of the crypto market, this is one chain. Bitcoin and Ethereum, as assets most sensitive to macro risks, will basically react in tandem with the Nasdaq index.

There’s also a subtle point. What is the market betting on now? Betting that the Fed will loosen monetary policy, betting on fiat currency devaluation. Once expectations of rate cuts strengthen, this narrative comes back to life. Conversely, if CPI data is higher than expected, risk sentiment will need to be suppressed, and the crypto market won’t escape unscathed.

Looking at a longer cycle, this year’s CPI data is essentially testing—can inflation in 2026 really fall to the target level? The 2.7% expectation already hints at the market’s optimistic outlook for a smooth process.

Once the data is out, the market’s reaction will be especially quick. The bigger the deviation from expectations, the greater the volatility. Be sure to keep an eye on the screen tonight at 21:30; real-time market movements will be crucial.

BTC1,55%

ETH1,71%

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SatoshiChallenger

· 5h ago

Ironically, every time it's said that "this data is the most critical," but what happens? The price still follows the macro sentiment. It's another 2.7% expectation, another rate cut narrative. We were betting the same way last year at this time. I'm not trying to be difficult; the lessons of history are right here. Staring at the screen? I think it's just gambler's psychology kicking in again. Those who enter the market before the data is released are basically betting that they are smarter than the market.

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StakeHouseDirector

· 5h ago

Going to gamble again, feels like 2.7% can't be broken.

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LucidSleepwalker

· 5h ago

It's 21:30, keep a close eye on the screen. If it can't break 2.7%, I'm bearish.

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MetadataExplorer

· 5h ago

21:30 showdown, can the 2.7% figure save our wallets? It's really tense. Basically, it's a gamble on whether the Federal Reserve will loosen or tighten. If they loosen, coins will rise; if they don't, we have to run. Wait, wait, wait, I have to stay up and watch the market again. When will this daily grind end? If CPI is higher than expected, I’ll just go to sleep. Anyway, lying flat is lying flat. It feels like another big wave is coming. Is the first wave of the new year about to arrive? I'm a bit tired. Honestly, I'm tired of playing this data guessing game. It all depends on this one number. The Federal Reserve has too much say. But on second thought, if the 2.7% is on time, the whole cycle will be stable. Is a bull market really coming?

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SatoshiSherpa

· 5h ago

21:30 Whether to break the deadlock or not still depends on the data's mood. It feels like tonight will once again trigger some volatile movements.

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GhostAddressHunter

· 5h ago

2.7%—this number really has to be displayed, I still have to keep watching the screen

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