2026-01-13 12:12:30

#密码资产动态追踪 $DASH $DOLO $ZEN

Signs of a Great Depression? Ray Dalio, Founder of Bridgewater, Views the US Economic Crisis

The founder of Bridgewater, who accurately predicted the 2008 financial crisis, has recently issued a major warning: the US economy is not just facing a simple recession, but the existing monetary order could be on the verge of collapse—this situation should be considered on the scale of the 1930s Great Depression.

Why is it so serious? Dalio candidly explained in an interview. Trump’s unpredictable tariff policies are like throwing stones into the global supply chain, causing massive disruption. Coupled with the US’s $38 trillion national debt, the fiscal deficit is becoming unsustainable. The US has entered the most dangerous "fifth stage" of the national cycle—fiscal collapse, escalating conflicts, and beyond that, chaos. What’s more troubling is that international trade agreements are pushing the US further outward, and this isolation could backfire, dragging down the domestic economy and reshaping the global order.

On the surface, the US economy is projected to grow 1.9% in 2025, but internally it’s already rotten. Last year, only 584,000 new jobs were added— the lowest in over twenty years during non-recession periods. Manufacturing and retail sectors are laying off workers, while healthcare and service industries are still hiring. More pessimistic forecasts suggest that by 2026, the unemployment rate could rise to 4.5%, with little momentum for labor market recovery.

Market reactions are the most honest. The US dollar index continues to depreciate, and gold has broken $4,600 to hit a new all-time high. What about Bitcoin? Its "digital gold" attributes are being re-examined, with more people viewing it as a hedge against dollar credit risk.

Dalio emphasizes that this crisis is not inevitable. Debt restructuring has smarter solutions, but current policy chaos is pushing the US into a fire pit.

Question for everyone: Will Dalio’s warning come true this time? Will the US monetary order truly face problems, and can Bitcoin absorb this wave of safe-haven capital?

DASH46,48%

BTC1,55%

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 4h ago

Dalio is back at it with another big move... But honestly, listening to him talk about the US economy is starting to bore me, the key point is whether BTC can take off this time or not. If the dollar really crashes, the coins in our hands will have a chance. This unemployment rate data looks suspicious; no wonder everyone is hoarding gold and Bitcoin. 38 trillion in national debt... forget it, I don't want to think about it, just buy coins anyway. This time, Dalio won't just be talking nonsense again, right? Let's verify the truth sooner, brother.

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tx_or_didn't_happen

· 4h ago

Ray Dalio is back to scare people, but I have to admit, this guy has indeed timed things perfectly. The 38 trillion yuan in national debt is no joke, signals like dollar depreciation and gold hitting new highs are all there. The problem is, every time he predicts a crash, the system just proves to be so resilient... However, this time with the tariff policies, it does seem a bit like playing with fire. --- The unemployment data is the most painful part—58,400 new jobs, at that level, would have caused protests over twenty years ago. The absorption in healthcare and service industries basically means middle-tier positions are disappearing. --- Gold has reached 4600, and BTC is definitely riding the risk-avoidance hype, but how long can this last? If the Federal Reserve really cuts interest rates to stop the bleeding, this rally might turn out to be fake. --- Honestly, Dalio’s analysis framework isn’t wrong, but if policies really undergo restructuring, reality will be more chaotic than he thinks. That’s the scariest part. --- Wait, this guy says "debt restructuring has smarter ways"? Then why not just say what they are? Throwing tough talk without specifics isn’t very meaningful.

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NeverPresent

· 4h ago

Is Dalio really not just alarmist this time... The 38 trillion debt really can't be sustained anymore, it feels like Bitcoin is about to take off this time.

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PumpStrategist

· 4h ago

Dalio's set of arguments is always quite impressive, but based on the chip distribution and market sentiment indicators, the real risk release hasn't even begun yet. The pattern has formed, and the bottom divergence is particularly obvious. I'm just worried that the retail investors going all-in now will only realize what a probabilistic strategy really means when the unemployment rate hits 4.5%. The breakdown of gold at 4600 isn't a coincidence; the interesting levels for the dollar's depreciation are still below. But whether BTC can hold up... depends on the technical support.

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JustAnotherWallet

· 4h ago

Dalio is bearish again, but this time it feels a bit different... The figure of 38 trillion in national debt is indeed staggering, no wonder everyone is hoarding Bitcoin.

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OldLeekMaster

· 4h ago

Dalio is once again sounding the alarm; whether it's true or not this time is hard to say. Anyway, we're just bullish on BTC.

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GasFeeCrier

· 4h ago

Dalio is once again sounding the alarm, but this time... something feels off. With 38 trillion in national debt weighing down, this is definitely a ticking time bomb, it will explode sooner or later.

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