Tonight, the US CPI data will be released, and the market is holding its breath. The market consensus generally points to a month-on-month increase of around 0.3%—which is undoubtedly a heavy blow to investors who have been shouting "rate cuts soon" since the beginning of the year.
Predictions are mostly consistent, with the range being squeezed tightly: between 0.2% and 0.4%. The current suspense is not whether it will rise or not, but rather "how much it will rise." Service sector prices remain resilient, and the "gray rhino" of rental costs still cannot be pushed down, indicating inflationary pressures may be on the rise again.
Core CPI month-on-month and year-on-year remain at a high of 2.7%, giving the hawkish faction of the Federal Reserve more influence.
Data from the CME FedWatch tool is quite alarming—the market's expectation of rate cuts before June has fallen to less than 30%. Traders' patience is truly running out.
If tonight's data really hits 0.3% or higher, the script will need to be rewritten immediately. The US dollar is likely to surge, risk assets may come under collective pressure, and the market's original timetable for rate cuts? It will probably be pushed further back.
The first test of 2026 is here. Buckle up, market volatility could strike at any moment.
(Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Invest cautiously.)
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PortfolioAlert
· 5h ago
No chance of interest rate cuts... This CPI is really quite strong
We'll have to wait until after June again, all previous judgments were pointless
Betting on 0.3% really depends on luck
View OriginalReply0
AirdropHunterXM
· 01-13 13:17
The interest rate cut dream is shattered; let's still buy the dip in BTC.
No more words, as soon as the CPI is released, the dollar soars. This move depends on the Federal Reserve's stance.
The gray rhino of rent prices is truly remarkable; inflation just can't be suppressed.
Waiting to see if there's a black swan event tonight...
View OriginalReply0
pumpamentalist
· 01-13 13:15
CPI is causing trouble again, everyone stay awake
The rate cut dream is shattered, the housing rent bull is really hard to push
0.3% and it's over, the Federal Reserve is still hawkish, what about our coins
Already said not to shout for a quick rate cut, now face reality
There should be quite a few people waiting to be proven wrong, just waiting
View OriginalReply0
FrontRunFighter
· 01-13 13:10
ngl the fed's just playing puppet master here... everyone's front-running the same cpi narrative, typical dark forest behavior. if it hits 0.3 they'll rotate hard and retail gets sandwiched again fr
Reply0
OnchainDetectiveBing
· 01-13 13:00
The rate cuts are over, I can't hold on anymore, brothers.
#策略性加码BTC $DASH $ZEN $XRP
Tonight, the US CPI data will be released, and the market is holding its breath. The market consensus generally points to a month-on-month increase of around 0.3%—which is undoubtedly a heavy blow to investors who have been shouting "rate cuts soon" since the beginning of the year.
Predictions are mostly consistent, with the range being squeezed tightly: between 0.2% and 0.4%. The current suspense is not whether it will rise or not, but rather "how much it will rise." Service sector prices remain resilient, and the "gray rhino" of rental costs still cannot be pushed down, indicating inflationary pressures may be on the rise again.
Core CPI month-on-month and year-on-year remain at a high of 2.7%, giving the hawkish faction of the Federal Reserve more influence.
Data from the CME FedWatch tool is quite alarming—the market's expectation of rate cuts before June has fallen to less than 30%. Traders' patience is truly running out.
If tonight's data really hits 0.3% or higher, the script will need to be rewritten immediately. The US dollar is likely to surge, risk assets may come under collective pressure, and the market's original timetable for rate cuts? It will probably be pushed further back.
The first test of 2026 is here. Buckle up, market volatility could strike at any moment.
(Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Invest cautiously.)