【ETH Technical Analysis | Bearish Structure Continues, Focus on Rebound Strength】

#欧美关税风波冲击市场
Market Review and Qualitative Assessment
ETH remains trading within a clear downward channel on the four-hour chart. The price is below all major moving averages, with MA5 about to cross below MA10, indicating a clear bearish trend. Currently, the price finds temporary support near the 3000 USD round number, but the rebound strength is very weak, and overall market sentiment remains bearish.

Bull-Bear Framework and Structural Projection

1. Bearish Structure: The current price is below the core resistance zone formed by MA30 (3251) and MA20 (3230), which is a key threshold for trend reversal judgment. Short-term moving averages (MA5/10) have also turned into resistance, forming an initial rebound resistance zone at 3080-3100 USD. The overall structure shows the typical bearish characteristics of “lower highs and lower lows.”
2. Core Trading Logic:
· Bears: Advantage lies in a clear trend with effective moving average resistance. The goal is to push the price below the 3000 USD psychological level, opening the downward space toward 2945 USD (support marked in the chart) and even lower.
· Bulls: The current task is to organize an effective defense at 3000 USD and push the price to rebound above 3100 USD, challenging the MA5-MA10 resistance zone and creating conditions for a subsequent trend reversal. Currently, bullish momentum is clearly insufficient.
3. Key Position Projections:
· Upper Resistance: 3100 USD (near MA5) -> 3200-3250 USD (dense pressure zone around MA20/30/100).
· Lower Support: 3000 USD (psychological level) -> 2945 USD (recent key low) -> after breakdown, next support should refer to previous low areas.
Risk Reminder
The above analysis is solely based on technical projections from publicly available market data and does not constitute any investment advice. The digital currency market is highly risky, with prices potentially experiencing sharp fluctuations. Please make independent judgments and implement proper risk management.
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