SOL Overall Analysis:



Price Trend: From a medium to long-term perspective, SOL rose from the December low of 117 USD but recently plummeted over 15% in the past 168 hours from a high of 148.88 USD, breaking below the lower boundary of the downtrend channel (130 USD), forming a large bearish candle and a top divergence (marked "9" and "13"). After touching a low of 124.8 USD, it rebounded slightly but remains dominated by bears. If it stabilizes above 128, a reversal may occur; otherwise, it could test 120 USD.
Technical Indicators:
MA/EMA: Short-term moving averages are in a death cross downward, while long-term trends are flattening, indicating easing bearish momentum.
RSI: Around 17, extremely oversold (<30), with declining downward momentum, signaling a potential strong rebound.
MACD: The red histogram is shrinking, and the death cross momentum is weakening.
Volume: After a massive decline, the rebound is moderate, with buying interest emerging.

Market Environment: The crypto market is stabilizing (BTC above 89k USD), and SOL has fallen 0.9% today. Positive factors include SKR airdrop, TVL exceeding 12 billion USD, and stablecoin inflows of 8.04 billion USD, supporting a potential rebound. Sentiment on X is neutral to slightly bullish: traders see 125-128 as accumulation zones, predicting a short-term rebound to 130-135.
Risks: With 5x leverage, SOL's high volatility (daily average 5%+) presents significant downside risk. There is no "zero-loss" strategy— even if a rebound occurs, fake breakouts are possible.

My Advice: Go Long (Long) SOL/USDT

Reason: Strong oversold rebound signals today (extremely low RSI, bullish candles at lows, positive catalysts), suitable for intraday swing reversals. Despite the appearance of further decline, oversold conditions often lead to quick rallies, with a high probability of immediate profit (target 3-5%). The medium-term downtrend has not reversed, but bulls are dominant intraday.
Entry Points: Buy near the current price of 127.9 USD (high-probability rebound point), or wait for a pullback to confirm support at 126 USD (safer, to avoid chasing highs). Using leverage, a short-term 2% rise can yield over 100 USD profit.
Stop Loss: Set below 125 USD (low point), limiting risk to 2% of capital (no more than 20 USDT floating loss). If triggered, close immediately to prevent further losses.
Take Profit: Scale out in stages—first target 130 USD (lock in half, profit of 100 USDT); second target 132 USD (close all, profit of 200 USDT). This setup allows capturing profits during the rebound rather than holding positions too long.
Position Size: Use a staged approach, starting with 500 USDT, avoiding full position. Monitor X sentiment; if it breaks below 125, switch to short.
SOL0,74%
BTC1,33%
SKR-29,23%
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