XRP's RSI at Historic Crypto Bottoms: $1.60 Tests Support as ETF Accumulation Signals Potential Reversal

Recent market conditions reveal a compelling convergence of technical exhaustion and institutional positioning in XRP. With the cryptocurrency currently trading at $1.60—down 3.67% over 24 hours and 15.07% over the past week—technical analysts and crypto market observers are highlighting multiple datasets that suggest diminishing downside pressure. The weekly RSI reading has fallen to deeply depressed levels, while simultaneous ETF inflows signal growing professional capital accumulation despite ongoing consolidation.

Weekly RSI Compression Points to Technical Exhaustion

According to prominent technical analysts, the weekly RSI for XRP against USD has reached 33, marking one of the lowest readings across multiple market cycles in the crypto space. Historical precedents suggest this type of technical compression has preceded major reversals. Comparable RSI conditions emerged during the 2017-2018 bull cycle and the 2022 bear market bottom, periods that typically preceded multi-month rallies.

What distinguishes the current environment is the divergence between momentum exhaustion and selling activity. Price compression near long-term lows persists, yet volume metrics do not reflect aggressive distribution selling. This pattern—declining momentum paired with reduced volume—typically indicates capitulation-like exhaustion rather than active selling accumulation.

For confirmation to solidify, market participants are watching for a decisive weekly close above recent swing highs. Should momentum build, initial resistance targets are positioned near $3.50-$4.00, with potential extension toward $5.00 if broader support holds across multiple timeframes.

$1.80-$2.30 Support Zone Continues Institutional Absorption

On the monthly timeframe, data reveals a well-defined support band between $1.80 and $2.30 that has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure since early 2025. This zone shows a pattern of higher lows on the macro timeframe, with large-volume price action consistently defending this range. The structural integrity of this support level suggests it carries significant strategic importance for the broader consolidation pattern.

Complementing this technical picture, momentum indicators on the monthly chart display constructive divergence. Recent pullbacks have occurred on declining volume, pointing to reduced selling pressure and capitulation conditions. A sustained monthly close above $2.30-$2.50 would represent a bearish scenario neutralization. Should such a move materialize, the measured advance target expands toward $5.00-$8.00, based on the consolidation range’s proportional height.

ETF Capital Flows Hint at Growing Institutional Accumulation

One of the most significant developments emerging across crypto markets involves spot ETF positioning. Data from SoSoValue reveals a notable single-day net inflow of $18.99 million recorded on December 17, 2025. Total ETF assets have now accumulated to approximately $1.14 billion, reflecting steady capital positioning during periods of sideways price action.

The divergence between persistent ETF inflows and stalled price action carries historical significance. In other digital assets, similar patterns have preceded supply-driven rallies, as institutional capital reduces available liquidity. The ongoing pattern of flows suggests confidence building among larger participants despite extended consolidation. Should demand persistence continue, short-term recovery targets are positioned near $3.00-$4.00.

Multiple Signals Converge: What the Data Suggests for XRP

The alignment of technical signals, defended macro support, and ETF-based capital positioning creates a rare dataset confluence for XRP analysis. Each component—from the deeply oversold RSI reading to the institutional absorption patterns—indicates diminishing downside momentum despite extended consolidation.

The current environment presents more balanced risk conditions compared to earlier market phases. Confirmation through higher weekly and monthly closes remains essential before directional conviction solidifies. However, the multi-faceted signal alignment suggests current price ranges carry increased strategic importance within the broader crypto market. Market participants monitoring XRP should watch for volume expansion on any recovery attempt, as sustained institutional inflows combined with technical reversal signals may define the next directional phase.