The world uncertainty index just hit an ATH

- Higher than 2008.
- Higher than COVID.
and look at what's happening:
• S&P 500 above 6,800
• Gold hovering around $4,900-5,000
• Dollar Index crashing to ~97
• Crypto fear & greed index at 8.
Every hard asset ripped while fiat collapsed. gold nearly doubled since trump's inauguration. silver went 4x before correcting.
And bitcoin? sitting at ~$67k. down 47% from its $126k october high.
This feels like 2019 all over again. gold ran first, then btc did a 10x. gold
broke out in 2019, btc didn't move until late 2020.
The setup might be even better this time:
• Strategic Bitcoin reserve already exists (created march 2025). treasury hasn't even started buying aggressively yet
• Blackrock calculated a 1% allocation from asian institutional investors alone = $2 trillion into crypto
• Stablecoin market cap ratio sitting at 8%, meaning massive dry powder on the sidelines
• Fear & Greed Index hit 5 on feb 6. that's lower than the FTX collapse. lower than luna. lower than covid
Every single time the index has gone to extreme fear like this, a massive rally followed within 6-18 months.
The world is literally screaming "we don't trust the system anymore." the dollar is getting sold, gold is getting hoarded, and equities are being propped up by liquidity injections.
You think the hardest, most portable, most divisible, most verifiable store
of value won't catch that bid eventually?
JPMorgan says $266k. Motley Fool says $150k this year. Even Standard Chartered, who just slashed their target, still sees $100k by December.
Bitcoin isn't failing the digital gold narrative. It's just the last one to move. like it always is.
$8.7 billion in realized losses last week alone. That's textbook capitulation. weak hands out, conviction buyers in.
Zoom out. Every time uncertainty peaks, BTC follows with a monster move 12-18 months later.
Patience is the real alpha here