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There is a hardcore bettor on Polymarket who exclusively bets "NO," with a profit of $170,000 and a win rate of 63%.
He focuses on political and military events, and his moves are very steady.
Single bets typically yield between +20% and +100%.
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I just checked his on-chain records and added a few details:
📌 entered the market in August last year, less than a year to reach $170,000 profit
📌 largest single profit over $20K+
📌 total of 615 bets placed, not very frequent but very accurate