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#美伊局势影响
Geopolitical Black Swan Attack: Who Will Be the Last Laugh — Gold, Oil, or BTC?
The expectation of a large-scale U.S. attack on Iran has hit the global financial lake like a stone. Risk assets are trembling, while the three major “safe havens” are showing completely different strong performances.
Gold: The old-school champion, backed by centuries of trust, remains the most stable “ballast” for funds, with prices soaring.
Oil: The conflict’s direct dividend is realized, as supply concerns push oil prices higher, adding fuel to global inflation.
Bitcoin: The new digital contender, rebounding against the trend amid panic, challenges the old label of “high-risk asset” with its strength, reigniting the story of “digital gold.”
This conflict is not only a battlefield for assets but also a test of the Federal Reserve’s rate hike path. Rising inflation expectations will influence every move by central banks.
In an era where black swans frequently appear, it’s better to embrace uncertainty through diversified allocation rather than betting on a single asset.