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$BTC
Cautious Short Positioning: In the coming days, a predominantly bearish scenario is expected; the probability of growth is estimated at 42%, while the probability of decline is 58%. Weakness signals predominate in the absence of strong growth catalysts, so the market is inclined toward a short-term correction toward the support area of 69,000 USDT.
Bullish Scenario: The scenario is possible if strong ETF inflows are maintained and consolidation occurs above **70,500 USDT**. Institutional activity in ETH is driving general interest in large-cap coins, including BTC and SOL. If daily volume exceeds**250 billion USDT**, a breakout of the**74,000 – 76,000 USDT** zone is possible.
Short-term long position 📈
Entry: 70,500 USDT, volume 35%
Stop-loss: 69,000 USDT
Take-profit: 74,500 USDT
Bearish Scenario: Negative funding rates, declining activity in the futures market, and a predominance of short positions among professional accounts create potential for testing the lower boundary. At high risk, a correction to **68,000 USDT** is possible.
Short-term short position 📉
Entry: 72,800 USDT, volume 40%
Stop-loss: 74,000 USDT
Take-profit: 68,000 USDT