Hey everyone, the market carries real risks this week with a bunch of major events clustered together—volatility is definitely going to be significant. Let me share my thoughts with you:

The Fed meets on Wednesday, which is the first meeting since the Middle East conflict. Powell is also about to step down. Right now employment data is weak, oil prices remain elevated, inflation pressure persists, and there's significant disagreement within the Fed. If Powell takes a hawkish stance, U.S. stocks will likely come under pressure—everyone needs to be careful.

Oil prices are still oscillating at elevated levels, with Brent crude fluctuating between $100-$104. The Middle East situation is tense, and when oil prices are high, it's hard for inflation to come down, making it even harder for the Fed to cut rates.

Data and earnings reports are coming all at once too. If Wednesday's PPI data rebounds, it will directly affect Powell's tone in his remarks. The earnings from tech and consumer giants will also show the real impact of high oil prices and high rates on companies.

On the technical side, here are the key support levels I'll update for you:
Dow 46,500, Nasdaq 22,000, S&P 500 6,600—once any of these break decisively, short-term rebounds will be very difficult.

To sum it up simply: Middle East tensions push oil prices higher, high oil prices keep inflation elevated, inflation forces the Fed to stay hawkish, and ultimately stocks come under pressure. Don't rush to buy the dip this week. Keep a close eye on Powell's remarks and wait for clearer signals before making your move. $BTC $GT $ETH