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Trump Changes Tone After 5 Days, How to Play the Market for Maximum Gains?
The Middle East has been quite tense lately. Trump one moment says, “Bomb Iran’s power plants within 48 hours,” and the next suddenly says, “Pause for 5 days, let’s talk.” Oil prices plummeted over 10%, while US stocks surged, leaving many friends confused by the news.
Today, we’ll explain this whole situation in plain, down-to-earth language, especially focusing on the most mysterious part—the “volume spike 15 minutes ago”—who might have known the script in advance?
Over the weekend, Trump was very aggressive:
“Iran must open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, or I will bomb their power plants!”
But at 7:05 a.m. Monday (New York time), he posted in all caps, with a completely different tone:
“We’ve had good talks over the past two days, and we’ll continue this week, so I’ve decided to pause the strikes for 5 days.”
From 48 hours to 5 days! The market instantly shifted from “war is imminent” to “hope remains.” US stock futures skyrocketed, the Dow Jones rose over 1,000 points at its peak, but oil prices crashed more than 10%.
Even more astonishing is that all this was already hinted at before Trump’s post.
About 15 minutes before the post (around 6:50 a.m. New York time), during a very quiet pre-market period, the market suddenly exploded:
S&P 500 futures showed a massive $1.5 billion buy order, causing prices to spike upward;
WTI crude oil futures saw a large sell order, pushing prices down.
On the candlestick chart, this looks like a “volume spike on an island”—no news, yet a sudden large trade, and the direction matches exactly what Trump’s post implied.
What does this mean?
Someone might have known the news in advance (via intelligence or insider info);
Or a smart algorithm detected the early signs;
Or it could just be a coincidence…
But such a precise coincidence is highly unlikely.
In simple terms: sometimes the market moves faster than the news, telling you with price action—“Someone is already acting.”
Trump explained himself:
“3 days is too short; talks wouldn’t be deep enough and it looks insincere.”
“7 days is too long; dragging it out risks more, and it makes the US look weak.”
“5 days is just right—covering a full workweek, giving the other side a breather, while still allowing us to continue if needed.”
This is Trump’s “trading art”: scare you first, then give a way out. The market understood this signal and celebrated briefly.
Short-term good news:
Oil prices dropped sharply, so gasoline and natural gas might not rise immediately, easing living costs;
Stock market rebounded, making investors feel better about stocks and funds;
Cryptocurrencies also saw small gains.
But don’t celebrate too early:
Iran says, “We haven’t talked at all,” and Israel continues military actions;
If talks break down after 5 days, oil prices could rebound sharply, even more than before.
These 5 days are like a collective “peace dream”—once it wakes up, volatility could be even greater.
Summary: The 5-day pause isn’t the end, but the start of a new game.
That volume spike 15 minutes ago taught us a lesson:
Sometimes, the fastest “trades” aren’t in the White House, but in the futures market within just a few minutes. For ordinary investors:
Short-term, look for opportunities but don’t rush in too aggressively;
Watch candlestick charts and AI analysis, keep an eye on oil prices and US stocks;
Be cautious with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies—risk transmission from oil prices and geopolitical tensions.
If you want to see more detailed real-time candlestick charts and AI anomaly signals, feel free to check them out.
Do you think that volume spike 15 minutes ago was just a coincidence, or did someone know in advance? Share your thoughts in the comments—we’d love to discuss!
(The above is a plain-language interpretation based on publicly available information, for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Markets carry risks; invest cautiously.)