If the US and Iran really go to war again, oil prices and inflation expectations will need to be reassessed; don't just focus on the candlestick charts.

Good morning everyone

Today was originally the end of the 2-week ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. Right at this time, Trump announced an extension of the ceasefire. Then there was also a continued maritime blockade against Iran. Only when Iran submits a proposal and completes the negotiations, it is still full of a “Trump-exclusive style”—again, a familiar taste and formula. Ever since Trump took office, this kind of negotiation, with threats, coercion, and pressure to force the other side to compromise in order to achieve so-called cooperation, has often happened. Negotiation matters frequently occur.

The second round of US-Iran talks did not go smoothly. Then the ceasefire time was extended again. The market also had expectations. Yesterday, I personally also mentioned that when the two sides encounter principled issues, neither will give way—especially since Iran has no basis for trust with the United States. Even if negotiations proceed smoothly, it would still be a pure waste of time, because they can’t reach even a basic consensus.

Based on the current development of the US-Iran situation, the outlook is not optimistic. In particular, during the ceasefire period, both sides have already deployed military forces. The old US warships were moved over early, so they can enter combat at any time. Therefore, I believe the likelihood of war breaking out again between the US and Iran is high. If another war happens, even more Gulf countries and regions may join, leading to an even larger scale of conflict and global economic instability.

Currently, the overall market is fluctuating in a range that is slightly upward. Therefore, in the short term, it will fluctuate between 74,000 and 78,000. ETH’s current trading range is relatively narrow; in the short term, it will still stay between 2,280 and 2,370. SOL’s short-term fluctuation range is 84.5 to 87.5.

Short-term contract strategy:
BTC: 75,000 or buy on dips, take profit at 77,500

ETH: 2,280 or buy on dips, take profit at 2,330

SOL: 85 or buy on dips, take profit at 87

Warm tips:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set according to your actual liquidation price and how much loss principal you personally can bear.
2. Don’t be greedy—take profits and lock them in. It’s better to take a small loss than to hold against the position. If the direction is right, continue holding.
$SOL ‌$ETH ‌$BTC ‌