In the current volatile Fluctuation encryption market, investors need to adjust their strategies flexibly to seize market opportunities while ensuring Risk Management in a controllable risk situation. My personal investment strategy mainly revolves around asset allocation, market sentiment analysis, trend judgment, and Risk Management.

1. Asset allocation: Diversified investment to reduce risk
In the case of intense Fluctuation in the market, the risk of single betting on a single track or single asset is too high, so I adopt the allocation method of core assets + growth assets + high-risk assets:
✅ Core Assets (50%): BTC & ETH
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) remain the core of my investment portfolio, accounting for 50%. Bitcoin is the "digital gold" of the crypto market, relatively stable in market fluctuations; while Ethereum is the cornerstone of the smart contract ecosystem, and its Layer2 development is promising in the long run.
✅ Growth Assets (30%): Public Chain & Track Leader
Mainly focus on assets from the Solana (SOL), Arbitrum (ARB), Optimism (OP) Layer1 and Layer2 ecosystems, while also paying attention to FET in the AI track and RNDR in the DePIN track. These assets often see larger gains when the market warms up.
✅ High-risk assets (20%): Meme & New Projects
Recently, the popularity of the Meme track is high. I will participate in small positions in Meme coins with strong community consensus, such as DOGE, PEPE, WIF, etc. I also pay attention to hot new projects (such as BMT) that are newly listed. However, this part of the funds strictly adhere to the stop-loss and take-profit strategies and do not hold for the long term.

2. Market Sentiment Analysis: Capital Flows & Community Sentiment
The direction of capital flow in the market is crucial for investment decisions, and I mainly focus on the following aspects:
📊 CEX & DEX Fund Inflows and Outflows:
• If BTC & ETH experience large-scale capital inflows, it indicates that market sentiment is relatively optimistic.
On the contrary, if stablecoins (such as USDT, USDC) flow into the exchange, it may indicate that market participants are cashing in profits or hedging risks.
📈 Social Media & KOL Viewpoints:
• Twitter, Telegram, Discord are key platforms for observing market sentiment.
• Recently, the FOMO in the Meme track has gradually cooled down, but discussions in the DeFi and AI tracks are increasing.

3. Trend Judgment: Technical & Key Support Analysis
On the technical side, I mainly focus on the key support and resistance levels of Bitcoin, as BTC's trend usually affects the entire market:
🔹 BTC key support level:
• $80,000: Short-term support, if broken, the market may enter a correction phase.
• $75,000: Strong support, if broken, may trigger a deeper pullback.
🔹 BTC Key Resistance Level:
• $83,500 - $85,000: If this range is broken, the market may further strengthen.
• $88,000: The upward target, once broken, may usher in FOMO funds.
While BTC is fluctuating, I will focus on the capital flow of ETH and the public chain ecosystem, such as SOL, ARB, OP, to determine whether to increase positions.

4. Risk Management: Dynamic adjustment of strategies
In a market with intense Fluctuation, Risk Management is key to survival. I take the following measures to manage risk:
✅ Set strict take profit and stop loss:
• BTC & ETH Take profit target +20%, stop loss -10% (low Fluctuation assets)
• Leading the race (SOL, ARB, OP) take profit +30%, stop loss -15%
• Meme & New project take profit +50%, stop loss -20%
✅ Gradually build positions & take profit in batches:
• Recently, the market sentiment has not fully recovered, so I will not fully invest at once, but instead use a grid strategy to build positions (such as buying BTC in batches at $80,000-$82,000).
• Gradually reduce positions during the upward trend to secure profits.
✅ Pay attention to macroeconomic & policy trends:
• The US CPI & interest rate expectations directly affect liquidity. Although the February CPI cooled down, the March-April CPI may rise again due to the tariff policy, which may put pressure on the market at that time.
• SEC & ETF Approval: If the ETH spot ETF is approved, it will be a new catalyst for the market.
#加密投资组合