This week, the market faces a double test: two key events may trigger severe fluctuations, and investors need to remain highly vigilant.


This week's market volatility is expected to soar, as two key events are enough to shake the entire landscape. A slight misstep could affect asset returns, and investors must remain highly vigilant!
First, focus on the Federal Reserve's "Super Speak Week." From Monday to Friday this week, over 8 senior Federal Reserve officials will be making public speeches, with the statements from Fed Chair Powell and Vice Chair Jefferson being the core of the core. These speeches are by no means ordinary statements; every single word could reshape the market's expectations for an interest rate cut in October: if they release a "hawkish" signal (indicating a tightening of monetary policy), U.S. stocks, gold, and other assets are likely to come under pressure and decline; if they convey a "dovish" tone (indicating easing or a pause in rate hikes), the market is expected to rebound quickly. For investors, these speeches are akin to a "market code," and every detail is worth careful consideration.
Secondly, there is the "countdown to the U.S. government shutdown crisis." The U.S. Congress must pass a budget agreement before October 1; otherwise, the federal government will officially shut down. This is far from a simple domestic issue for the United States, as its impact on global markets is direct and significant: key economic data such as the non-farm payroll report and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), originally scheduled for release in October, are highly likely to be postponed. These data are crucial for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions during the October meeting, and the absence of data will lead the Fed to be in a state of "blind judgment," inevitably increasing market volatility.
Key point! This week's core investment task: closely monitor the speech direction of senior officials from the Federal Reserve and keep an eye on the progress of the U.S. government shutdown crisis in real-time. If either of these two major events experiences unexpected changes, it could trigger significant market fluctuations, and investors' positions will face the risk of "big ups and downs"!
Will the Federal Reserve lean towards "hawkish" or "dovish" this month? Can the U.S. government successfully resolve the shutdown crisis? #美联储官员集体发声
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