Needs to hold — or it’s just another fakeout.
• Premium Gap: +14.7 (first positive since Dec 2024)
• Price: $67.9K
• Deepest negative: -200 (late Jan)
History is clear:
Positive premium (Oct–Nov) →
$BTC ran to 125K.
Negative premium (Nov–Feb) → bleed to $67.9K.
Feb 27 printed the first green tick — but no confirmation yet.
Every bounce since November failed within days.
We need 3–5 days above zero to confirm US demand is truly back.
Don’t trust the first green candle. Watch sustained premium.