3月に金利を据え置く確率は95.9%

Stablecoin regulatory uncertainty causes traditional banks to pause infrastructure investment; crypto companies offering 4%-5% yields could accelerate capital migration

Stablecoin regulation remains unclear, putting traditional banks in operational dilemmas while crypto companies continue to develop in gray areas. Banks, influenced by legal counsel's advice, are hesitant to invest heavily in stablecoin infrastructure, resulting in limited deployment. Although large-scale deposit outflows have not yet occurred, competitive pressure is intensifying.

米国上院、CBDCを禁止：ホールセール版はどうなるのか？

米国上院が新たに可決した住宅法は、CBDCの小売版と卸売版を明確に区別していない。しかし、その法律の定義は、CBDCの禁止が一般向けに広く利用可能に設計された小売版にのみ適用されることを示唆している。 米国上院

美联储预计下周维持利率在 3.50%-3.75% 不变，伊朗战争推高通胀压力

美联储将在下周会议上预计维持利率不变，利率范围为3.50%-3.75%。伊朗战争导致油价飙升和通胀压力增加，经济不确定性加大。市场普遍预期美联储按兵不动，以观察局势对通胀和就业的影响。

Thay đổi quy tắc Basel III có thể mở đường cho dòng tiền “khổng lồ” vào Bitcoin, nhà phân tích

Basel III regulations on bank capital requirements may be updated in 2026, potentially lowering Bitcoin's risk classification. If so, it could unlock significant liquidity in the BTC market. Current rules impose a high risk factor, hindering banks from engaging with cryptocurrencies, prompting calls for regulatory reform to encourage traditional banking integration of BTC.

联邦法院叫停司法部对鲍威尔传票调查，沃伦支持沃什担任美联储主席概率升至28%

预测市场显示，伊丽莎白·沃伦支持凯文·沃什担任美联储主席的概率上升至28%。联邦法院叫停针对现任主席鲍威尔的调查，沃伦称其为“政治迫害”，呼吁放弃调查。随着调查受挫，沃什的提名阻力减小，尽管两人的政策立场存在明显对立。

三菱日联分析师：伊朗战争引发油价上涨或促部分央行加息，澳元受益明显

3月14日，三菱日联分析师指出，虽然油价上涨可能促使央行加息，但在经济疲弱情况下，加息对货币通常不利。澳元因市场预期美国加息和能源价格上涨，成为表现最佳的G10货币之一。