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📉 Economic data weakens, and the probability of interest rate cuts skyrockets to over 80%!
Key Verification Points Overview:
#美联储降息预期升温
• September retail data only 0.2% ↗️ expected 0.4% (consumption momentum weakening)
• PPI annual rate of 2.7% meets expectations → No additional inflationary pressure
⚡️ Deconstructing Market Logic Contradictions
🔥 The struggle of three forces:
1️⃣ Interest rate cut expectations rise: CME interest rate futures show a probability of over 80% for December.
2️⃣ Technology Revolution Hedge: Google's Gemini Ignites AI Investment Boom
3️⃣ Cycle Node Game: Black Friday Shopping Season Becomes the Savior of Consumption
⚠️ The Federal Reserve is walking a tightrope.
Powell may implement a "rate cut + hawkish tone" combo.
→ Prevent market overheating (refer to the case of the dollar rising after the interest rate cut in September)
→ Internal Tear: Unemployment Rate Alarm vs Economic Resilience
💎 Crypto Market Coordination Plan
ETH implied volatility jumped 37% in one day, I see Ethereum reaching 85,000 USD by the end of the year!
The on-chain reserves of stablecoins have reached a new high of 78 billion (defensive signal).
$BTC , $BNB , $XRP P, #加密市场回暖