Tonight, the global markets are waiting for one thing: the Federal Reserve's "hawkish rate cut."

At 3 a.m. Beijing time, the rate decision will be announced. A 25 basis point cut is almost certain.

But this time, it's completely different.

The "hawkish rate cut" is coming—cutting rates while clearly hinting that this may be the last one in the near future. The subtle turning point in policy is happening tonight.

There are only three key points:

1. Powell's "one sentence"
The post-meeting statement and press conference are crucial. Goldman Sachs expects the wording to return to "caution," implying that the threshold for another rate cut has significantly increased. How Powell defines "the last time" will determine market direction.
2. Serious internal divisions
This vote may show rare disagreements:
• Some worry about employment and insist on rate cuts;
• More are concerned about inflation and call for stopping;
• There may even be multiple opposing votes. The more severe the division, the greater the market volatility.
3. An overlooked signal
Besides interest rates, the balance sheet may quietly shift. To ease market pressure, the Fed might restart bond purchases—this isn't full-scale easing but is an important liquidity signal that cannot be ignored.

Just before the decision, the market has already moved ahead:
$BTC surging past 100,000, $ETH soaring to 4000. This is no coincidence.

Global funds are betting on the next chapter.

After tonight, will the easing cycle truly end? All answers are about to be revealed.

Follow me for the first insights into the Federal Reserve's major decision and seize the market turning point. #美联储降息预测 #广场发帖领$50 #加密市场反弹