Today, a major news broke in the market — a research report from a leading exchange predicts that the Federal Reserve may signal a rate cut tonight. What does this have to do with the Bitcoin we hold?

It’s a big deal. Recently, the US employment data has not looked very good, and the market generally believes there is little room left for continued rate hikes. If a rate cut indeed occurs, the easing of liquidity usually benefits risk assets like Bitcoin. More capital means a natural upward pressure on prices.

But don’t get too excited just yet. The report also mentions a detail: inflationary pressures still exist, US consumers have serious credit card debt, and average interest rates have soared above 20%. People are tight on cash, and the economic fundamentals are actually quite fragile. A rate cut can stabilize market sentiment but cannot change the fact that the economic foundation is weak. In other words, volatility might become even more intense.

Faced with this situation, how should we play? Here are three suggestions:

**First, don’t chase the highs.** Even if the market moves up, it’s mostly likely to be a choppy upward trend, not a straight surge. Chasing high can easily trap you in the middle of the climb; waiting patiently for a pullback is wiser.

**Second, position management is key.** Market movements driven by news can change quickly. Always leave some ammunition. Buying the dip when prices fall, avoiding FOMO during rises—this helps keep your mindset stable.

**Third, focus on data, not predictions.** What exactly will the Fed say tonight? How will CPI and non-farm payrolls look afterward? These are the real steering wheels. Speculating on news can be exciting temporarily, but fundamentals determine the long-term trend.

Opportunities are indeed present, but risks are also significant. Stay calm, avoid reckless moves, and maintain a steady rhythm to stand firm in this wave of market movements.